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Friday, 04/17/2020 2:46:45 PM

Friday, April 17, 2020 2:46:45 PM

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OT but unbelievable news - we wrecked our economy because the INTENTIONAL lack of CV-19 testing greatly underestimated infection rates, which greatly inflated the mortality rate - even if there was some sampling errors in this study it wouldn't change the magnitude of the results - gawdamn this pisses me off! The bungled CDC testing program played a huge role in this, as did the CiC's desire to keep reported infection numbers down so he didn't look bad and hurt his chances of re-election - talk about a strategy blowing up in your face! Appears to me the only diff between this and the regular flu is it's more easily spread, and it might be more dangerous for the elderly with co-morbid conditions because of the cytokine storm issue - regular flu kills via pneumonia, CV-19 does not.


Stanford study points to far higher rate of COVID-19 infection

Apr. 17, 2020 2:08 PM ET|By: Stephen Alpher, SA News Editor

The study of a random sampling of 3.3K living in Santa Clara County found those infected with coronavirus to be 2.49%-4.16% of the population. Extrapolated out, that would mean 48K-81K folks infected in Santa Clara, or a whopping 50x-85x more than officially confirmed cases.

The public policy implications are enormous in that they would change by a mile the denominator when figuring out the fatality rate. The study authors figure the rate would be something closer to 0.12%-0.2%, or in the same area as normal flu levels.

Some are questioning whether the sampling was truly random, but others note these numbers comport with other studies coming out of Europe. Coming soon are results from a study of all MLB employees - from the front offices to the players to the hot dog vendors.



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