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fza

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Alias Born 07/28/2019

fza

Re: TRUISM post# 186302

Sunday, 04/05/2020 10:26:11 AM

Sunday, April 05, 2020 10:26:11 AM

Post# of 278228
If you go by Hopkins numbers and use worldwide recovery vs deaths (200k divided into 50K) this gives you a mortality rate of 25 percent. What I see from many other organizations as of now is a 3-4 percent death rate projection. Of course some project way higher or lower. If it were 25 percent every country not just the hot spots would be in chaos, which is not the case as of now. I was only using Michigan.gov's confirmed cases and confirmed deaths which in the long run will be the way the final number will come to be. How many people are there who just toughed it out and didn't go to the doctor. That is why confirmed cases in all of these pandemic final statistics is an estimate that ranges by as much a a factor of two. Death can be more easily counted unfortunately. Just trying to find a ray of hope and add perspective. I have always been an optimist by nature. That's why I bought KBLB. I am hunkered down here in Michigan in St. Clair county right next to the three county corona epicenter of Wayne, Oakland and Macomb. Just like Washtenaw County is adjacent to the epicenter. The mood is positive in both counties from what I am seeing, reading and hearing.
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