NorthWest Biotherapeutics Inc (NWBO)

[Doktornolittle]

Daily new deaths in the US were down in the last PR'd count. I think that is why the market is up. Of course that lower new death count could be noise, but if it really peaked on 3/28, and continues down in the same shape that it came up, it could be as low as 4440 accumulated (total) deaths as we approach very low daily numbers near April 16.

These low numbers should make me wonder if we didn't need to spend the $2.2T, as I wondered yesterday... but they don't. They make me feel like there is light at the end of the tunnel (with residual good practices) and we did the right thing. I am happy, but know things could turn for the worse tomorrow. Further; this was a very simple calculation... just doubling the numbers for the apparent peak on 3/28. But I had done a very complex calc first. A calc that in retrospect, made absolutely no sense. I had a sigmoid model with integrals etc... and all on the wrong data. So... beware my estimates.