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Monday, February 17, 2020 9:48:53 AM
It is like saying in betting football games, as a for instance, that the last 131X the Chicago bears have played the packers, going back to 1960 (2games per year and includes 11 post season contests, the AWAY DOG who was getting 9 or more points has covered the spread 60% of the time. This week the Bears are playing in green bay and they are getting 10 points, therefore there is a 60% chance they will cover. The Bet is therefore Chicago Bears. Is this really the way to invest your hard earned money? Some would say yes. Despite different standards, testing, methods, technology, accumulated knowledge, funding, personnel, etc.
The people and coaching staffs and a dozen other factors of the prior 60 Bear and Packer teams, going back to 1960, are not the teams playing this weekend. They have no connection which is investable in the here and now.
And the percentage in common parlance is also media fodder. Can you identify the 1000 prior phase 2 Alz drugs which comprise the field where 4 have been approved? ...o you say they werent even phase 2 drugs, that this means any drug ever identified with mouse testing, o you say it actually wasnt mouse testing,????........things get very nebulous and mythical. They say Paul Bunyon chopped down 197 trees in just 6 months time.....that is a fact.....blah blah blah.
does anybody really believe these stats are valid? that testing today and methods today are the same as 1960 or 1970 or 1980, etc..
This is all nonsense.
Instead, stay with the trial data the trial data the trial data the trial data....and the anecdotal data as well......stay with current events please. ...
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