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Tuesday, 01/14/2020 7:33:03 PM

Tuesday, January 14, 2020 7:33:03 PM

Post# of 47147
AIM LEAPS portfolio for 2020

Given the relative success I had running the AIM LEAPS portfolio during 2019, I'm modifying my rules/guidelines and will be running it again in 2020.
  • Stock universe is large US, high cap companies that have some amount of perceived stabilization (e.g. consistent earnings, consistent and increasing dividend payer, strong dividend coverage ratio, etc.)
  • All options written on the Jan 15, 2021 expiration.
  • All options purchased as close to At-The-Money as possible.
  • Corresponding option price needs to be low enough to purchase at least 15 contracts. (Thus corresponding to lower priced and/or lower volatility stocks.)
  • Initial LEAPS-to-Cash allocation is 70% / 30%.
    • Use entire Cash pool across portfolio to buy as needed.
    • % Cash in green represents cash holding above initial allocation of 30%.
    • % Cash in red represents a negative cash amount.
  • Buy SAFE initiated at 10%. Sell SAFE initiated at 5%.
  • Target 8 - 10 separate issues.
  • Diversify across sectors and industries.
  • Use the 30-day rule between subsequent buys.
  • No time based rules for subsequent sells. (And currently no other rules, but I'm investigating Tom's cash threshold idea of avoiding a sale by raising the Portfolio Control by half the Sell Market Order value.)
  • Trade order targets ~5% - 6% of value of total contracts held for each issue. (15 initial contracts will only allow for 6.7% minimum.)
  • Roll to next expiration series in April.
    • Nine months remaining to expiration on "rolled from" series, well ahead of major premium decay.
    • 1.75 years remain to expiration on "rolled to" series.
    • Determine adjustments to portfolio
      • Consider replacement if perceived better opportunities exist.
      • Rebalance positions to beginning LEAPS-to-Cash allocation during annual roll.
    • Hold positions for a year and a day for favorable tax treatment if trading in a taxable account. (I'm trading in a Roth IRA.)
  • Investigating increasing Buy SAFE % on subsequent buys and reducing on subsequent sells (to a 10% floor) (similar to what Tom has explained for individual (non-ETF) issues.) Currently, +10% on subsequent buys and -10% of subsequent sells, to the 10% floor, will likely work with the volatility of options.

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