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Re: Retiredceo post# 240501

Monday, 01/13/2020 4:27:16 PM

Monday, January 13, 2020 4:27:16 PM

Post# of 426962
I can absolutely see there being SOME collusion between 2-4 parties, but industry-wide, the conspiracy theory breaks down. At the end of the day they're all in competition with each other and all it takes is one enterprising S.O.B. to have his team pull the trigger. Could be an outlier with lots of cash like GILD or JNJ, could be one of the Japanese pharmas that have a tendency (willingness) to overpay (though I think Takeda's hands are still full from the Shire deal).

I put more stock into the idea that MMs have had the largest vested interest in holding this back as sellers of call options, and they can have some influence through their iBankers, but again that's not a lid they can keep on it forever... Additionally, when they get wind of a real deal, the polarity will flip, and I think we'll see one of those phantom $10-15 runups for 1.5-3 weeks before the share price goes nuclear (in a good way) for the last time.

I’m in the camp that there is a big effort by either big companies or the supplement industry to hold the price down. Obviously they have been somewhat successful. However sales are going to take off. No question. When they do the stock price will too.

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