Monday, December 02, 2019 7:55:37 AM
"Jefferies analyst Michael Yee provided his takeaways from a recent call with a patent lawyer related to ongoing generics litigation for Amarin's (NASDAQ: AMRN) Vascepa. AMDA litigation between Amarin and generic filers Reddy's and Hikma has come into focus amid the approval of the sNDA for Vascepa and a trial is set to start on 1/13/20.
Yee said they came away from the expert call positive as many generic claims have already abandoned or invalidated by the court and, in the opinion of the patent attorney, a settlement or outright win by Amarin is probable.
The analyst said a settlement would be a positive outcome and could potentially push the stock to $25-30 as a key overhang is removed.
"We still think a settlement would be a great outcome as it would benefit all parties involved, including removing an overhang on AMRN and the generics potentially getting ~6 months of limited exclusivity in a $5B+ mkt later in 2029, which is worth a lot to generic companies," Yee commented. "We estimate that every six mos of generic entry earlier than 2029 equates to $2/share, though Teva has already settled for 2029."
If a settlement is not reached, the expert still thinks Amarin would likely win the case outright.
"Our DCF suggests the stock is worth $30 on peak sales of $3-4B, and every $1B higher peak flows to the bottom line and is worth $5/sh upside," Yee commented.
In addition to the takeaways on the generics litigation, Yee previewed upcoming competitor data. While data from competitor fish oils over the next 12 months could result in some headline noise, the big picture shouldn't affect Amarin, he said.
The analyst reiterated a Buy rating and $30.00 price target on AMRN.
For an analyst ratings summary and ratings history on Amarin Corporation click here. For more ratings news on Amarin Corporation click here.
Shares of Amarin Corporation closed at $20.63 yesterday"
Kels
Recent AMRN News
- Amarin Reports First Quarter 2024 Business Update and Financial Results • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 05/01/2024 11:00:00 AM
- Amarin Applauds HealthyWomen’s Citizen’s Petition Urging FDA To Take Further Action On Fenofibrate Prescribing in Patients at Risk of Cardiovascular Event • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 04/24/2024 06:00:01 PM
- Amarin Announces Results of Annual General Meeting of Shareholders • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 04/22/2024 12:00:25 PM
- Amarin to Report First Quarter 2024 Financial Results and Host Conference Call on May 1, 2024 • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 04/15/2024 12:00:00 PM
- Amarin Highlights Key Data Providing Mechanistic Insights into Eicosapentaenoic Acid (EPA) at ACC.24 • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 04/08/2024 12:00:00 PM
- New REDUCE-IT® Analyses Show VASCEPA® (Icosapent Ethyl) Benefit in High-Risk Cardiovascular Disease Patient Subgroups • PR Newswire (Canada) • 04/08/2024 10:30:00 AM
- New REDUCE-IT® Analyses Show VASCEPA®/VAZKEPA® (Icosapent Ethyl) Benefit in High-Risk Cardiovascular Disease Patient Subgroups • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 04/06/2024 07:30:00 PM
- Amarin Provides Update on VAZKEPA® (Icosapent Ethyl) Intellectual Property Portfolio in Europe • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 04/03/2024 12:00:00 PM
- Research Evaluating Benefits of VASCEPA®/VAZKEPA® (icosapent ethyl) to be Presented at the American College of Cardiology’s (ACC) Annual Scientific Session & Expo • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 03/25/2024 12:00:00 PM
- Form ARS - Annual Report to Security Holders • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 03/04/2024 10:30:53 PM
- Form DEF 14A - Other definitive proxy statements • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 03/04/2024 01:00:24 PM
- Form 10-K - Annual report [Section 13 and 15(d), not S-K Item 405] • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 02/29/2024 12:06:26 PM
- Form 8-K - Current report • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 02/29/2024 12:05:56 PM
- Amarin Reports Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2023 Financial Results and Provides Business Update • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 02/29/2024 12:00:00 PM
- Amarin to Report Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2023 Financial Results and Host Conference on February 29, 2024 • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 02/15/2024 01:00:00 PM
- Form PRE 14A - Other preliminary proxy statements • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 02/12/2024 01:00:24 PM
- Form 4 - Statement of changes in beneficial ownership of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 02/09/2024 09:31:50 PM
- Form 4 - Statement of changes in beneficial ownership of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 02/09/2024 09:30:28 PM
- Form 4 - Statement of changes in beneficial ownership of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 02/09/2024 09:30:12 PM
- Form 4 - Statement of changes in beneficial ownership of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 02/02/2024 09:30:24 PM
- Form 4 - Statement of changes in beneficial ownership of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 02/02/2024 09:30:22 PM
- Form 4 - Statement of changes in beneficial ownership of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 02/02/2024 09:30:11 PM
- Form 8-K - Current report • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 01/26/2024 12:00:49 PM
- Form 4 - Statement of changes in beneficial ownership of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 01/24/2024 09:31:21 PM
- Amarin Chairman & CEO Issue Letter to Shareholders • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 01/22/2024 12:30:00 PM
Bantec Engaged in a Letter of Intent to Acquire a Small New Jersey Based Manufacturing Company • BANT • May 1, 2024 10:00 AM
Cannabix Technologies to Deliver Breath Logix Alcohol Screening Device to Australia • BLO • Apr 30, 2024 8:53 AM
Hydromer, Inc. Reports Preliminary Unaudited Financial Results for First Quarter 2024 • HYDI • Apr 29, 2024 9:10 AM
Avant Technologies to Implement AI-Empowered, Zero Trust Architecture in Its Data Centers • AVAI • Apr 29, 2024 8:00 AM
Bantec Reports an Over 50 Percent Increase in Sales and Profits in Q1 2024 from Q1 2023 • BANT • Apr 25, 2024 10:00 AM
Cannabix's Breath Logix Alcohol Device Delivers Positive Impact to Private Monitoring Agency in Montana, USA • BLO • Apr 25, 2024 8:52 AM