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Re: tootalljones post# 2357

Tuesday, 10/15/2019 10:07:21 AM

Tuesday, October 15, 2019 10:07:21 AM

Post# of 5650
negative data is really picking up steam and this is reflected now in GDX and especially GDXJ. AAII investor sentiment is at 20.3, one of the lowest figures of the past 5 years. Typically, this has been a good time to "buy the bottom" or buy the dip, but it is a losing strategy if we are sliding into a "deflation" a "recession" a "disinflation", and the other words the economists interchangeably use.

Also more headlines from this morning from a dumpy rag but is reporting a fact nonetheless:
"IMF projects slowest global growth since the crisis amid trade, geopolitical tension:
Brian CheungReporter,Yahoo Finance•October 15, 2019

As regards gold, you see it is only down 5 bucks but the problem is gdxj is getting hit fairly hard, and gdx itself a tad less hard. The smaller stocks are being left for dead right now in gdxj, and this will spread. This is, imho how the gold market traditionally sells off, the smaller stocks first, then the larger, and finally the commodity itself takes a shellacking.

also, latest figures show commercials very high, as reported on this message board......Conclusion: the retracement is here, and if this is the start of the recession, gold will get whacked, as it typically does in recessions.....who knows, you take your chances.