Amarin Corp Plc (AMRN)

[MedResCollab]

Yes, the Titanic looked very good on paper. So did many other engineering failures.

Math will help lead to a correct placement or materials to handle loads etc., and that will usually be applicable in reality, especially when overloads are factored in (margins of error). That doesn't mean math exactly reflects reality. That is why margins of error exist.

If mathematics cannot exactly replicate reality, then our musings on whether or not the sNDA for Vascepa is approved by FDA without a hitch that much less so. The variables are exceedingly numerous, and how many unaccounted for in this or that thesis?

All that is spoken or deduced can only ever be an approximation. But the more detailed the evidence and the more numerous the data points used to advocate a given position, the better aligned that position with the true odds inherent in the position. Our analysis, which is far more extensive than any available on AMRN, especially the puddle-water deep musings of buyside, portends a far higher likelihood the negative catalysts possible and that are approaching come to fruition than the $7B+ market cap in AMRN gives these credit for.

Regards,
-MRC