IMHO it is likely. The SAP is not complete yet. No timeline for completion and submission. The SAP is composed of several hundred pages and as DI confided it is as big as a telephone directory. It is very complex with state of the art statistical tools. There is no doubt in my mind that blessing turn around by all 4 RAs is around the corner. I hope all 4 RA approvals can be obtained by SNO but it is probably safer to say end of 2019/early 2020. An abstract will be prepared for ASCO 2020 with detailed analysis. This is a year away.
There is nothing for NWBO management to say other than to invoke diversionary tactics as it did at this ASCO wrt D. FUD is a natural outcome and the nefarious forces will be out to drive down the share price. NWBO will likely need more funds and the last of Sawston goes. They may need further financing in addition to Sawston sale and depending upon news it may not be highly toxic although it may be highly dilutive.
To me and a number of investors in the network, management has no credibility and we shareholders are flying blind through all the turbulence. I think this likely scenario breeds an environment of much lower share prices. Eventually and ultimately, I think they will succeed. Will results be blockbuster? Stay tuned. The share price goes much lower before it recovers. As a very long term investment, it might be ultimately worth the wait but it depends how old you are. All bets are off if we get a pleasant surprise and RA blessings say in September as DI may predict. Top line might come reasonably shortly thereafter. But in my view, that is a long shot.
To those that think LP is hearing up for a sale, I hardly share that view. If it has any glimmer of a possibility, it will be after reg approvals which I think are relatively long off. I think the odds of a sale are extremely low as LP will not be asking in BP's Goldilocks zone. It will be a long long slog to the "Promised Land". JMHO.
