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Re: CalMustang post# 186810

Thursday, 04/11/2019 6:48:59 PM

Thursday, April 11, 2019 6:48:59 PM

Post# of 430553
i just took the benchmark data and divided by the revenue reported by Amarin and got the ratio.

It seems that ratio for 1st Q is always the highest out of the 4.

1st q 2014 ratio = 1.42
1st q 2015 ratio = 1.74
1st q 2016 ratio = 1.91
1st q 2017 ratio = 2.34
1st q 2018 ratio = 2.49
1st q 2019 ratio = i gave it 2.6 to 2.8 to follow the trend

so we have 185m (your number) divided by 2.6-2.8 = 66m - 71m
but if we get lowered ratio of say 2.49 like last year, we can get to 74m

simple math, but like HD said (i have no idea what he said actually), i hope i am wrong!

Commonsense says 1st Q should be way higher than 4th Q looking at scripts and plus they upped the price by 9%... but hey, with amrn, nothing makes sense right?
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