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Thursday, 04/11/2019 8:12:49 AM

Thursday, April 11, 2019 8:12:49 AM

Post# of 68362
Tech's Perfect Signal
By: SentimenTrader | April 10, 2019

Tech’s fully recovery

Out of the S&P 500’s 11 major sectors, only one has made a fully recovery from the December decline, and it’s an important one. The information technology group has fully recovered from its decline of more than 24%.



Other times it fully recovered a drop of 20% or more within a six-month window, it showed excellent returns going forward. Most impressively, a year later the sector was higher by at least 13% every time. Returns were excellent for the S&P 500 itself, as well.

Sentiment spread

The persistent bid under stocks has buoyed sentiment, and the spread between Smart and Dumb Money Confidence hit a multi-year low this week.



When it first hits this wide of a spread, it has not been a negative, but as the days progress with this kind of extreme, the risk/reward quickly turns negative.

A down day!

The S&P lost more than 0.5% on Tuesday for only the 9th time since the December 24 bottom. After 7 of those other 8 down days, the S&P rebounded over the next two days and returned an average of more than 1%.

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