The projection is that when all the data is in. 50 will live 58+ months and 50 will not.
I will take 1 last try on this one.
50 will live 58+ months
See it - even McCoy's Star-Trek medical team could do that.
But there is a problem.
The PROJECTION formula - whatever it is - doesn't have
a variable to capture the sub-types of each individual
and apply some rule if the individual is sub-type so and so.
So - dependent on the sub-type mix % of the group -
the 58.4 median is a FLOOR - and only time (not math)
will reveal the CEILING.
With hindsight - this should have been a 1 ARM trial.
Meaning - what we are seeing in the Treatment group would
be mirrored in the Control group.
This assumes the sub-type mix % was around the TCGA database
% mix of their patient population and Dr. Liau was accurate
in her 2011 assessment.