I really don't think that we will see the 90% in the last 10% factor this time around. I thing it is going to be a more stable ride / longer ride up this time. There will likely be spikes of course, but go back and review some of the stuff I posted on Longer and Stronger to see why I say that.
I am of the view that the 'producer discipline' combined with Nuclear Plant Growth, change to environmental mindset, and Long Term Contract expiries coming up will result in that Longer and Stronger scenario this time around as opposed to the 90-10 rule that you refer to. As I say, nobody knows for sure. I believe that since you are here now that you are WAAAAYYY ahead of the herd and once this gets going you might not care too much about bottoms and tops - unless you are on a beach spending your profits that is. :)
Of course today we have to contend with Algorithm trading which makes thinks even more difficult to predict. That is why I always say...
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