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Friday, September 07, 2018 6:28:04 PM
Why do we think there is a LTFU in-between 23.1 and 36 months?
Just wondering if the 11 is rock solid.
WOW - you win the medal for having an eagle eye for both spotting those step downs in the video (I looked - you are right. I had to take a screen shot and then blow it up), and for even thinking to look closer at that image in the first place. Yes - there appear to be 3 step downs in the methylated arm, and some sort of a blob on the unmethylated arm past 36 months. Could the blob be a 4th? The line after the blob doesn't seem to drop so I'm doubting that's a step down.
So you're going with 13 LTFUs and not adding any more than 3 to the 44 past 36 months?
I have 64 before 36 months - you have 67. I felt pretty good about my count of 64 as I think I got the same numbers when I counted them on the overall chart and the split charts. But of course, I could be wrong. I'll revisit them again.
I mean, I'd think there'd have to be some events well past those 3 events you observed right after 36 months to create a presumed mOS of 88.2. So if there were just 10 LTFs, and there are 3 that we can see evented after passing 36 months, that's
64 alive less than 36 months + 44 alive more than 36 months = 108 + 10 LTFUs + 207 events before 36 months + 3 after 36 months + 3 more who died after 36 months.
That would give us 44 alive after 36 months plus 6 events after 36 months.
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