Verb Technology Company Inc (VERB)

[tedpeele]

Price projection from the 'unleashing':

Earlier today I listed 18 items that could possibly be reported on in order to fairly quickly move the price up to $4 a share.

For fun I'll go through each item and project the probability of big news and a percent increase expected if it is announced - to see where this price possibly could go:

The initial post was here:
https://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=143349592


1. Partnership with Facebook. Chance 10% Effect: 500%

2. Partnership with Twitter. Chance 5% Effect: 500%

3. SAP major partnership with big plans by SAP. Chance 10% Effect: 200%

4. Microsoft CRM partnership. Chance 40% Effect: 120%

6. Salesforce partnership Chance 60% Effect 160%

8. Inclusion of Interactive video in the Sound Concepts app Chance 80% Effect: 30%

9. MLM company agreement to include for all customers - or plans to do so. Chance 5% Effect 80% avg MLM

10. Howard Stern and/or Sirius agreement. Chance: 50% Effect 50%

11. Stellar board members and adviser announcements. Chance 100% Effect 25%

12. Gartner write ups. Chance 80% Effect 25%

13. Initial positive sounding results from commercials and/or one of their clients Chance 80% Effect 15%

14. Highly Positive Oracle and Marketo initial results. Chance 10% Effect 100%

15. Rich Bohn review. Chance 90% Effect 25%

16. An explosion of testimonials. Chance 5% Effect 100%

17. NotifiMed big announcement Chance 15% Effect 50%

18. NotifiEDU big announcement Chance 50% Effect 50%

END RESULT OF UNLEASHING PERIOD:

Multiply all probabilities by price effect:

ex: Facebook, Twitter would be:
1+(.10 x 5) X 1+(.05 X 5) = 1.5 x 1.25 = 1.875 x .63 = 1.18 end price - the low projected probability that both of these would happen is why the price doesn't go up to $20

So taking all together:

1+(.10 x 5) Facebook
x 1+(.05 x 5) Twitter
x 1+(.10 x 2) Sap
x 1+(.40 x 1.2) Microsoft
X 1+(.60 x 1.6) Salesforce
x 1+(.8 x .3) Sound Concepts app
x 1+(.05 x .8) MLM full company
x 1+(.50 x .5) Howard Stern
x 1+(1 x .25) remaining BOD/Advisers
x 1+(.8 x .25) Gartner articles
x 1+(.8 x .15) pos feedback re commercials or client like DR2
x 1+(.1 x 1) Highly positive Marketo Oracle initial feedback
x 1+(.9 x .25) Rich Bohn review out
x 1+(.05 x 1) explosion of testimonials
x 1+(.15 x .50) big NotifiMED news
x 1+(.5 x .5) big NotifiEDU news
---------------------------------
33.6 factor, unless I made a math error.

SO, if one thinks the current price has NONE of the above items factored in - the price could run to roughly $20.

The reality is that the price DOES trade at a very large premium to its fundamentals, because of the story.

If some of the above such as a big SAP announcement or Salesforce, or Gartner, etc.. ARE factored in then what would be the price if we remove those factors? I'm going to say around 15 cents (that's still a strong $25m market cap for a very unproven story).

33.6 x .15 is $5


So, either my above predictions of the chances for and the effects of news are wildly over-optimstic, or the company could have a massive run soon.