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Saturday, August 11, 2018 7:17:31 PM
They have a Nov 1, 2018 deadline to submit a development plan for spudding well #2. They have until Nov 2019 to actually SPUD well # 2, but they have to submit a plan by Nov 1, 2018, or they will not be able to take advantage of the government licence that allows them to do a second well.
They will generate a PR containing the test results for well #1 ASAP, in my opinion, for the following two reasons:
1.) They run out of money in about 45 days (Sept 30, 2018)
2.) They have to work up a formal development plan for development of the second well 30 days after that (Nov 1, 2018).
Suppose you are Zion's management team and you needed to raise money to legitimize a development plan that you have to have submitted by November 1, 2018, and further suppose you have openly admitted, via a timely 10-q filing, that you run out of money on or about September 30, 2018. Does anyone actually think it serves any purpose for the management team to delay announcing that well #1 is commercially viable? Will it be easier to raise money if they generate a PR without delay, or will investors respond better to delaying the well test results announcement? What BEST serves the goal of raising the money to spud well # 2: having the greatest amount of time or limiting the time during which they can raise money?
Also: in another recent post, I point out that Zion could have gotten an extension, rather than filing the 10-q. This is still a VERY important point because, if they were fraudsters, they could have hidden their very pressing time and money constraints. They could have hidden the "run-out-of-money" date via an extension, and they did not do so. And they could have likewise hidden the Nov 1, 2018 plan-submission-deadline via the self-same extension. They actually filed AHEAD OF TIME.
I began working thru the details of all the implications of the 10-q filing because I wanted to decide for myself whether there was anything behind the fear-mongering. After all, I have $$$ on the line, and in the abstract, it follows logically that it is always possible for companies to be carefully crafted frauds. Having re-read the pertinent parts of the 10-q filing, I think it is obvious that these guys will PR the well test results without delaying them.
So, my OPINION remains unchanged. We do not have long to wait. In a pretty short time, we should all know whether we have wasted our money or whether this little company is a tremendous investment.
Imperial Whazoo
"Just my opinions, folks. Do your own due diligence & make your own decisions. DO NOT... I repeat... DO NOT make any investment decisions on my comments. They are my opinions. That's all they are... OPINIONS."
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