Agreed, "Sure Thing" in an Up-Trend, when BTD (Buy-The-Dip) works well. But I see many failures ( large draw-downs ) during a Down Trend. We just have to identify an Up-Trend vs a Down-Trend and adjust our strategy, accordingly. I think, the S&P500 will top out around 3,200 in MAY 2019. And then we have a BIG DROP of 1,000 points = Down Trend ! In 2019 ... "Sell in May & go away" should work.
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