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Re: ocroft post# 42946

Friday, 05/04/2018 1:24:09 PM

Friday, May 04, 2018 1:24:09 PM

Post# of 47083
Hi Ocroft, I was using the basic AIM spreadsheet as I've modified it - added commissions and dividends - and tested with various buy/sell %s, share buy/sell %s and % cash range from 5% to 25%. Nothing particular beyond the basics.

The basic idea I've been looking at is finding higher beta positions and testing them to see if they might fit into the AIM approach where Lichello went down and then back up in a 50% down/ 100% up range in 13 months to get his results. (Page 59, Revised edition 1980) I'd love to know how to calculate the beta for his chart.

The market as a whole doesn't fluctuate this much in this short a time frame, but some positions can approach this level of volatility if the beta is high enough. OLED is the highest beta I've found so far that wasn't just dying on the vine. Yahoo says its beta is 2.25, TDAmeritrade says 1.3. Not sure who to believe.

On the other hand, FTR, with a beta of 0.5 on TDAmeritrade and 0.32 on Yahoo, has gone up from a low of $8.13 to $11.48 in just 3 days! Up 41%. So it may be that the extremes in either direction is the way to go with AIM as the tool.

The quote you used, where is it from?

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