Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Inc (AUPH)

[moosedogger]

"....they claim 278 million individuals have SLE."

Obvious misprint- they meant to say 278 thousand. 60% of that number gives an approximation of the number of LN sufferers- about 167 thousand.

If you take that number and figure 20% will take Voclosporin at an annual cost of 35K you get a number over $1B.

Seems realistic to me.

Fooling around with the numbers, if VCS works for SLE, all 278 thousand could take the drug for $7000 annually (doesn't include the cost of the drug to manufacture, market, distribute, etc.) and get to a $2B annual sales number.