A.I.M. Users Bulletin Board

[SFSecurity]

Hi Toofuzzy,

So I did a back test on REM and got something interesting. At first I didn't put in dividends and got the best results at 0% buy safe and 0% sell safe, -4.58%, -1.168%/year, over 4 years. To keep me from going negative with cash, I had to have a reserve of 25%.

But when I entered the dividends I got +14.24%, 3.396%/year, also a reserve of 25% cash to avoid going negative.

Both had a minimum trade of ~10% shares, $500 minimum trade and a $5/trade commission.

BTW, I adjusted for the 1/4 stock split by multiplying the pre-split prices by 4 so that the whole period was in the ~$40-$50 range. This likely effected the results as the number of shares would be lower with the higher price per share so there would need to be an adjustment for that.

I'm glad I added both commission costs and dividends to the spreadsheet. It really helps understand things a bit closer to what you might likely get, long run.

Allen