Monday, March 26, 2018 4:50:41 PM
in theory, much of that was priced into the market when the tax cut was first being discussed last summer into fall.
question is:
how much remains to be realized once the EPS "surprises" start splashing next month?
stocks theoretically are driven by price/earnings ratios (PEs).
so a 23% increase in pan-market earnings
suggests a 23% increase in S&P index value.
of course, that won't be perfect, both earnings mapping and due to many other parallel market factors in play.
but worth calculating as a ballpark estimate.
if you set your baseline when the tax cut bill was introduced (nov 2, 2017),
SPY was 255.
23% higher would be 313
if you start last aug before the tax cut bill was tangible,
SPY was 245.
23% higher would be 301.
if you start with the SPY value going into the nov 2016 election,
SPY was 210.
23% higher would be 258.
SPY retraced to 252 in the feb plunge
closed at 258 yesterday.
and closed at 265 today.
and that just the boost from the tax cut, alone,
ignoring increases in growth, employment, and higher profits in many industries due to deregulation of pollution, banking, etc... since Trump took the helm.
nutshell, seems likely to me that,
barring WW3 breaking out,
we'll see new all-time-highs this summer.
time will tell...
99.99% of all pinks are scams. Best to assume the other 0.01% are as well.
Recent SPY News
- Form NPORT-P - Monthly Portfolio Investments Report on Form N-PORT (Public) • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 02/27/2024 09:08:56 PM
- Form 497 - Definitive materials • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 01/29/2024 03:40:28 PM
- Form 485BPOS - Post-effective amendment [Rule 485(b)] • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 01/26/2024 09:50:00 PM
- Form 24F-2NT - Rule 24F-2 notice • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 12/14/2023 03:06:43 PM
- S&P 500 Expected to Be Volatile This Week • Finscreener.org • 12/11/2023 10:21:00 AM
- MCD Stock: Is McDonald’s a Good Buy Right Now? • Finscreener.org • 12/11/2023 09:55:00 AM
- S&P 500 Index: Should You Expect a Santa Claus Rally In 2023? • Finscreener.org • 12/04/2023 10:15:00 AM
- Uber Stock Spikes On Its Inclusion in the S&P 500 Index • Finscreener.org • 12/04/2023 09:59:00 AM
- Form N-30D - Annual and semi-annual reports mailed to shareholders [Rule 30d-1] • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 11/29/2023 08:08:28 PM
- How Does ETF Investing Help Create Long-Term Wealth? • Finscreener.org • 11/27/2023 10:07:00 AM
- Can Tech Stocks Continue to Gain Pace This Week? • Finscreener.org • 11/20/2023 10:43:00 AM
- Will the S&P 500 Index Move Higher This Week? • Finscreener.org • 11/13/2023 09:54:00 AM
- Meta Stock Slumps Despite Beating Estimates • Finscreener.org • 10/26/2023 10:12:00 AM
- The S&P 500 Index Likely to Remain Volatile in Q4 of 2023 • Finscreener.org • 10/02/2023 09:23:00 AM
- Will the S&P 500 Gain Pace in the Final Week of September? • Finscreener.org • 09/29/2023 10:22:00 AM
- Will the Tech-Sell Off Continue This Week for the S&P 500? • Finscreener.org • 09/11/2023 09:46:00 AM
- Macro Indicators On Radar for S&P 500 Investors This Week • Finscreener.org • 09/04/2023 10:01:00 AM
- Form NPORT-P - Monthly Portfolio Investments Report on Form N-PORT (Public) • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 08/28/2023 08:33:01 PM
- Big Tech Earnings In Focus for S&P 500 and Investors? • Finscreener.org • 07/24/2023 10:41:00 AM
- Will The S&P 500 Index Enter a Bull Market In July? • Finscreener.org • 07/03/2023 10:41:00 AM
- What Next for S&P 500 After 13.8% Gain In First Half of 2023? • Finscreener.org • 06/27/2023 11:07:00 AM
- What Next For S&P 500 After It Gains 26% From 52-Week Lows • Finscreener.org • 06/19/2023 10:12:00 AM
- What Next for Investors As S&P 500 Enters Bull Market Territory? • Finscreener.org • 06/11/2023 08:27:00 PM
Avant Technologies Engages Wired4Tech to Evaluate the Performance of Next Generation AI Server Technology • AVAI • May 23, 2024 8:00 AM
Branded Legacy, Inc. Unveils Collaboration with Celebrity Tattoo Artist Kat Tat for New Tattoo Aftercare Product • BLEG • May 22, 2024 8:30 AM
"Defo's Morning Briefing" Set to Debut for "GreenliteTV" • GRNL • May 21, 2024 2:28 PM
North Bay Resources Announces 50/50 JV at Fran Gold Project, British Columbia; Initiates NI 43-101 Resources Estimate and Bulk Sample • NBRI • May 21, 2024 9:07 AM
Greenlite Ventures Inks Deal to Acquire No Limit Technology • GRNL • May 17, 2024 3:00 PM
Music Licensing, Inc. (OTC: SONG) Subsidiary Pro Music Rights Secures Final Judgment of $114,081.30 USD, Demonstrating Strength of Licensing Agreements • SONGD • May 17, 2024 11:00 AM