Thrift Savings Plan

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RE: Is a collapse next?
Probably not, but it is not out of the question. The most likely scenario is a correction of around 10% followed by a retest of the prior highs. Then we better be very wary – a crash is coming. The issue, as always, is timing.
So far, I’m a bit ahead of the game since I dropped to 40% C-Fund and 60% G-Fund on 31 Jan...3 days after the recent top. I’m not there yet, but 30% is my bear-market stock exposure. If I am early, I’ll still make some money at 30% in stocks. On the other hand, if there is a crash and the market dropped 50%, I’d only be down 15% at the bottom and I’d have a lot of cash to use at the bottom. I may be moving to 30% soon. I hope to identify the bottom when we get there.
See my blog at…
http://navigatethestockmarket.blogspot.com/