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Re: Jimbo50 post# 133505

Sunday, 12/10/2017 8:32:01 AM

Sunday, December 10, 2017 8:32:01 AM

Post# of 462172
The fishing analogy works if you add a few things.

Around here (coastal) you will study the tides. You will study the bait fish. You will study the time of day and weather. You better know where the shoals/rocks are. Study the wind, read related reports. Study the time of year and the schoolies. Get out when it is right. Watch the surface for bait fish breaking. Watch the sea birds chase surfaced bait fish. Get the right gear ready. Be ready(if blue fish for example note they can easily take your fingers off). Find the fish schools, fish the schools and stay there until you cannot raise your arms to cast. Done.

That is also how you invest if you are smart. On the other hand you can just throw your line in and hope. Very few longs here have just stumbled onto the right context conditions. I think we expect (on some scale of confidence) that positive CNS results will happen w/A2-73.

Dr. M seems like a serious guy not given to blowing off a lot of smoke. Many qualified posters here have discussed and assessed the science. Trials so far are consistent AND there is no evidence of contradiction. Is it a perfect scenario? None exists. Most good fishermen do their home work and judge the conditions. Just beware of liars.
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