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Re: Bigman7100xxx post# 4498

Sunday, 12/03/2017 2:38:35 PM

Sunday, December 03, 2017 2:38:35 PM

Post# of 70335
hello Bigman...My understanding of the share exchange is somewhat different. It appears there may be mix up of two currencies in your calculations, USD and Canadian dollars.

ACB Friday closing PPS on TSX = $7.52

CMED Friday closing PPS on TSX = $19.00

Terms of share exchange = 1 CMED = 4.525 ACB
Then 1 CMED share holder gets = $7.52 X 4.525 = $34 value.

If the offer is accepted today: current PPS premium accruing to CMED shareholder per share = $34 - $19 = $15 0r about 79% premium. The trick here is as long as the 20 day VWAP of Aurora's share on TSX doesn't exceed $5.30, the share exchange ratio holds. If it does, the ratio of share exchange will reduce accordingly and subject to a cap price of $24 Canadian.


Terms of the Offer

"The Offer will provide holders of CanniMed Shares with 4.52586207 Aurora Shares for each CanniMed Share, subject to a maximum of $24.00 (the "Cap Price") in Aurora Shares. If, on the earlier of the expiry time of the Offer and the date on which all conditions to the Offer have been satisfied, the 20-day volume weighted average price (the "Calculation Date VWAP") of Aurora Shares traded on the TSX is greater than $5.30 per Aurora Share, the number of Aurora Shares that a holder of CanniMed Shares will receive will be calculated by dividing the Cap Price of $24.00 by the Calculation Date VWAP."


http://www.newswire.ca/news-releases/aurora-cannabis-launches-takeover-bid-for-cannimed-invites-cannimed-shareholders-to-tender-to-the-bid-659716483.html

My two cents, I could be off base here but this is how I see it.

4.5 exchange rate on every CMED share, works out too $26.64 so right now today $2.64 per share over the $24.00 premium Aurora has offered. If Aurora gains just 0.5000 Monday you can put another $2.50 making it $5.14 over the $24.00 offered and so on...that is the reason everyone is converting through there brokerage accounts, because they are making money. GO AURORA!!




Disclosure: My posts are just my opinion, not intended for investment advice. I am often wrong in my analysis, hence do your own DD to decide if you want to buy/sell/hold etc.




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