Cycle Trading

[Duma]

Yes it is doing just fine, but the Big 3 (investing equal amounts in SPY, QQQ, IWM) is doing better. In all time frames this has beat BRK. With just a little or a large amount of leverage, it kills BRK who is already at 1.6 leverage I believe you reported.

As I said once, the reason I don't invest in BRK is because I am scared to death of what happens when Buffet can not longer run the company. There could be a real sucking of wind as investors pull out their money. Of yes I know, he has all his lieutenants all lined up but still, just wait.

But you like BRK and have been investing in it for a long time. I respect that and it has worked well for you. Congratulations.

Note that the 10 yr numbers are less than 5 yr. That is why just blindly Buying and Holding is not really that good of a plan

 
 	        3 yrs	5 yrs	10 yrs 
 			 
 Big3	        41.3%	116.4%	145.2% 
 			 
 1.25 leverage	51.6%	145.5%	181.5% 
 1.50 leverage	61.9%	174.7%	217.8% 
 			 
 			 
 BRK	        30.4%	115.4%	112.2%