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Re: toybaby post# 140454

Sunday, 08/13/2017 11:19:57 AM

Sunday, August 13, 2017 11:19:57 AM

Post# of 211609
Sure. Let me go at it this way. Let's say that Q4 of 1016 was artificially high (they were able to place more cases than they anticipated) and that Q1 of 2017 was artificially low (supply line problems reduced sales to some degree). So we have an artificially high $360K in Q4 and an artificially low $300K in Q1. So we'll split the difference and say the basis is $330K. Fair enough?

A 30% increase in sales would show terrific growth, putting Q2 sales at roughly $432K, and we'll use $54 as the average price/case.

$432/$54 = 8000 cases for the quarter (about 615/week). But, toybaby, let me stress this: I truly have no idea. None. I'm just slinging it out there like everyone else. We'll call $432K my "Happy Joseph" guess. My "Bummer Joseph" guess is probably 15% less than that.