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Re: nsomniyak post# 7579

Saturday, 08/19/2006 2:11:00 PM

Saturday, August 19, 2006 2:11:00 PM

Post# of 33753
hi nsomniyak - I'm assuming you're talking about penny, extreme risk, speculative POS's??? LOL - that once you get past that stage, you can make you big bucks, with diversified piles of relatively small investments.

SLJB is still my number one holding in this area. I'd be buying still but on dips only. Some are saying buck range. I think those who are promoting and moving the company will be pisssssed at anything under .30's. Keep in mind this is a very unique situation. From day one and a fraction of the current price, I posted that it could be a scam, as could be any of these. However, they've left way too many trails in writing such that it would be very dangerous for it to be something other than what it has been represented.

LBWR (employee security systems and NNYG (energy) are 2 that have very open CEOS'. These aren't momo plays yet but we are getting a strong flow of info. Again, watch the spread and be careful with your trades.

HMSG - has already run 50% from its low but I posted about it last week at the lows. If it breaks the .005-.006 range, it could run. Lot of resistance there.

ATWT - just bought some at .03 and change and it's moved up a little - child safety seat systems for public and school transportation, with recommendations supposedly coming from ins companies and public agencies. I'm concerned here about capital structure changes so I'm not loading up heavily yet. I’ve traded it a couple of times and it has been much higher. Great product potential, but needs follow through.

Others I'm playing are golds: AURC (low end of trading range), IPMG - watch for dips though. It's up against high end resistance here at a penny. Gold mining, with news supposedly coming soon.

Very speculative and dead in the water now GCHR .006 (oil and gas has been as high as .05 this year)

DKGR - another gold that has gotten clobbered after being hyped. I'm just getting back in on lows. Management has a lot to prove, but I figure it's worth another run that gave me 3 baggers in the past.

That's the beauty of these things though. It's the math. I'm not saying you can count on a hundred bagger. I've had a couple this year but I'm not so presumptuous as to think it will happen again. However, I've also had my share of 5 baggers, 30 baggers, 40 baggers, etc. If you have a portfolio of 10 or 20, you can almost count on action from 1 or 2 every month or so. You will lose money on some, but the multi baggers will make your total portfolio grow despite losses, strictly based on the math. (one total loss and one 10 bagger is still a 5 bagger total). My iniital investments in HISC and LFWK/SLJB were between $2000 and $4000, tiny amounts by my portfolio. Do the math and put multibagger gains on those numbers and you can see how relatively small investments can turn into small fortunes. Both wound up being 6 figure gainers, (jury still out on SLJB). Again, that's a small part of my own portfolio. I put way more time and money into the value part and have not had nearly as much success this past year with supposedly quality stocks. Kind of ironic and maybe says that intuition, patience and timing is more important than actual stock picking and analysis. I kind of hope that's not true but I can't argue with the results.

I do that for my entire portfolio and I've gotten great results by sticking with it. I often say that it isn't stock picking ability, but discipline to work away from the crowd that is the key to consistently making money. I don't know which stock will do well tomorrow but I know that one or two of mine will do very well.

A prime example is CYDF. I mentioned it on a couple of boards back a little over a month ago at .15 or so. I had a sell in at .63. I've traded it similarly a couple of times before. Lots of hype with airshapes, UAV's etc for military and for commercial. Low float. I posted my sale yesterday at .63. It ran as high as .85 and then finished back in the .31's. I couldn't predict it would happen yesterday. I never posted about it after my initial posts. But I had a strong feeling it would be a multi bagger at some point, given the history and the product and the relatively low float. I still have PRXT which owns a lot of CYDF and is spinning off some shares as a dividend, but it's been dead in the water at .007's although it did move a bit yesterday. At some point, I'll buy back CYDF, but I think it has more to move down as those who got hurt at the top give up.

Anyway, take all this with a grain or two of salt and tequila and have a nice weekend.
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