Anavex Life Sciences Corp (AVXL)

[UnderVerse]

Yes, $3B was an arbitrary, best guess scenario of what big pharma might value Anavex at today, given current status of things, risk reward ratios and so on. If 2-73 becomes new AlZ SOC, then $3B becomes $30B or moread and the big pharma Finance team looks like geniuses with a 10 fold ROI (and we all retire rich). However, if it doesn't, then big pharma only loses a few hundred million $$, no big deal for someone that big. Hence my $3B valuation as things stand today. That could change tomorrow and could certainly change during P2/P3 trial, question is what's the economic risk someone is willing to put in today ... Whats the value of that call option... My best guess for that is a $3B MC ... cheers