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Thursday, September 22, 2016 6:24:20 PM
They evaluate the polls and actually determine which ones are crappy polls that should be discounted and which ones are more legit polls that should be taken seriously.
They can also take into account other factors in real-time that affect voter turnout and the undecideds in the next few weeks, such as fundraising on each side, advertisements, demographics of the voting population, etc.
Prediction markets are even better than just polls because of the above factors.
All 5 states, using prediction markets and the most recent polls, are currently expected to pass.
Now that may change between now and the election, and if so, it is highly likely the dynamic prediction markets will pick up on it, whereas static polls may not.
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