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Re: sleekscape post# 9944

Thursday, 09/22/2016 5:39:03 PM

Thursday, September 22, 2016 5:39:03 PM

Post# of 14966
Prediction markets are comprised of persons from any geographic location though no? That is not representative of the state at large but rather a broad market's sentiment. It seems to me that the most accurate way of figuring out where the states actually stand would be to take the average of all samples (polls), to reduce standard deviation overall. The bigger the sample, the more narrow the standard deviation.
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