Amarin Corp Plc (AMRN)

[heysfguy]

JL, I'm having trouble thinking AMRN can direct RI study personnel to include extra events as they occur after interim look is triggered.

Once they believe 60% of events have occurred, they probably can only direct those in charge of the study to begin the process of locking down data for analysis. If patient X123's data has been locked as of a certain date - say July 1 - and they have an event on July 15, it's too late for the event to be included in the data set. If they allowed it to be included, then wouldn't they have to go back to all the other participants and get their data extended to July 15? That doesn't sound viable to me.

This further leads me to believe this is why they initially set the the trigger at 60%, not at a true numerical half-way point of 50%. (No need to artificially string the study along, waiting for extra events.)

Which also leads me to believe that unless they hit analysis or data procurement snags, we'll hear something by the third week of September, if not sooner.

JMO of course - I am just an investor, not an expert in any way. Just trying to use deductive reasoning.