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Re: Whalatane post# 85472

Thursday, 07/21/2016 11:32:39 AM

Thursday, July 21, 2016 11:32:39 AM

Post# of 426304
Kiwi, Quote:

Currently at around $2.38 my guess is that the market does not expect a stop at Interim . So at most maybe a 50c sell off if R-IT is not stopped.
So then its a question of
1) how fast they can grow scripts ...4% growth each month doubles the script growth roughly by EOY 2017
2) Can they secure Licensing deals
3) Will Baker Bros refi the debt due in Jan 2017
4) How much COH ( cash on hand ) they show in the 2nd Qt earnings report.

If dilution is minimal ( $30-$40 m ) then the PPS may rise ( as an uncertainty removed ). Believe Dancing et al hold this pt of view.



Nice analysis. It seems to me all of these concerns are priced in to the stock at this level. H. C. Wainwright & Co.'s analysis thinks so too.
Great reward/risk ratio; potential small knee-jerk down versus blue sky above. Wouldn't want to be short or on the sidelines at this point... tick, tock, tick, tock...
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