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Sunday, 05/29/2016 8:00:30 PM

Sunday, May 29, 2016 8:00:30 PM

Post# of 711594
Flipping my flop further: This morning I had agreed that Pyrrhonian's guess that the trial was on partial hold due to essentially futility, fit the knowns too well to ignore. Then I backed off a little bit. Now I am backing off more.

I don't think it would make sense for the regulators to intervene for futility with the trial almost fully enrolled. My understanding is that they don't typically intervene for futility anyway, but to do so with the trial almost fully enrolled would seem pretty strange.

Anything other than futility would obligate them to stop treatment for all patients.

So... I am back in the long saddle. Now everyone can buy back the shares that they sold this Sunday morning.

I think someone else argued the same earlier today. Sorry if I am repeating. I am sure this same argument has been posed many times in the past months.
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