Monday, April 11, 2016 9:25:39 PM
Start of January miners are very over-sold at that time. Technical bounce very warranted and justified. Miners went up in January and it was absolutely justified.
In February gold was on a run and miners continued up and this was justified although miners got a bit overextended but nothing crazy yet.
March, gold basically flat for the month and miners not over-sold at all anymore however momentum carried them on. Movement starting to get silly.
April, gold still basically flat since March 10th. Miners now parabolic. Extremely over-priced and over-bought. Momentum has matured into a full blown pump job.
I look around and analysts are recently upgrading miners. Great of them to do. Where were they in January? Nope they wait until miners have gone up 150% in 3 months. Articles and media all over the place pumping miners now. Everyone loves the mining sector now that it is up 150% in 3 months. Bad balance sheets, huge debt burdens, gold being flat over the last month, Huge valuations of 60-80 times earnings, parabolic chart move. All ignored right now because a pump job is happening. What was justifiable in January and February and then turned a little too optimistic in March has now become a full blown pump job IMO.
This by the way is very normal in the stock market. All sectors do this from time to time. From one extreme to the other.
Knowledge + risk taking = prosperity
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