Thursday, February 18, 2016 3:21:02 AM
I still hold to the short term thesis that we are out of the woods as far as short attacks are concerned and I will defer to Xena analysis that they either ran out of ammunition or as I think redeployed elsewhere.
This is a WTF what if this could happen type scenario. The first part about the market spike down as a result of Boeing dragging down the market is shared by respected main stream non-straight jacketed analysts.
Will we ever know? I do not think so SEC does not have the security clearance to engage this factor in MHO
Are conspircies rare? Yes statistically they are black swans extremely rare but the effect is extereme so they need to be accounted for in a different fashion. Every possible permutation of outlaying rare event needs to be investigated. Even if it seems the rant of a lunatic whom sees some possible connection with other events.
Watch the 9/11 World Trade Center news feed again and listen to REM "ITS BEEN A BAD DAY" it might put one in the mood to be vigilant which is not the same as being paranoid or a conspiracy buff. Nice to be able to sleep well at night but we are far from out of the woods on that shit.
IMHO AVXL is out of the woods on short attacks. This Xena is brilliant as far as that goes. If I am not mistsken it is her belief they will have a hard time to cover. I concur. While Tom123 is struck with fear my thoughts are that the decreased volume will make it exteremly difficult shorys to cover in the short term due to drastically decreased trading volumes. They may be able to avoid a squeeze but I doubt they will be able to effect a deep spike down as Tom123 fears. Xena is an analyst that look at past trading forensically I trust them both. I do not see any evidence of disception on either. Tom123 swing targets have been accurate to a degree that supports his thesis also shared by Xena that the price action has been CONTROLLED. These are two very knowegable TA analysts who might not come from GS or MSSB but I trust. NO AXE TO GRIND.
As far as my suspicions of Russian Mafia involvement in the markets.
I will just share one axiomatic saying of my late Phi Beta Kappa Law Partner. "Pigs are at the trough when the money is green"
As crazy as it seems someone must chase the "RABBIT DOWN THE HOLE" when the Security of the United States is at risk.
I knew on last Thursday AVXL was in the clear for sustained attacks. That could change. I have 20x in Boeing and never worry. I now have no worries for AVXL in 15 years all of you brilliant and brave MIGHT (froll I said might) have a split adjusted cost basis sub $1 post in a well respected mid to large cap biotech. That said volatility is extereme and risk could be considered by some to be off the charts. Some might consider the risk/reward profile daunting but as Boeing showed us last week even the Bluest Chips not immune from the SEC being played like a cheap fiddle. TA good for price point day to year Sentiment 3 mo to 2 years. FOR FUNDAMENTALS 5 YEARS. I plan to accumulate AVXL up to the cusp of the first binary event then sell some or half to reduce risk if win buy on Tom123 type retacement from spike. If lose double down if we still have viability on other indications.
I think Tom123 and Xena are both right on. I favor Xenas take because like I said in the first part of my "rant" I beleive that the macro market picture is improving. Even if we have to double bottom again we will hold again at the last low as will the general market. Now we have normal volume and price point actions consistent with market conditions. Avenex IR said it email to Tob at some point the shorts would move on to other targets. I think they have and I think Xena can offer forensic evidence.
My respect to you all.
My Dear fellow shareholders: This is our Planet these are our People! You Will Make a Difference in the lives of others trust in yourself trust in God.
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