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Re: Whalatane post# 70698

Sunday, 01/31/2016 11:01:05 AM

Sunday, January 31, 2016 11:01:05 AM

Post# of 429675
K-

There is nothing that I read in AMRN statements that excludes the DMC's decision from being in the second half of 2016. AMRN only confirms that the 967th event will likely occur in first half of 2016.

a.) nobody said it could not be in the second half
b.) AMRN confirms that it (DMC recommendation) COULD BE in the first half: "I can’t tell you first half or second half"

I don't expect this data analysis to be rushed ,just to be able to released it in the first half of 2016

Amarin could not force the analysis, they are blinded. - "pulling that data together and throughout this process of pulling the data together its blinded to us"

Data collect and analysis of a trial this large with many collection sites can take at least 10 weeks

- end of first half will be during W27
- if the analysis will take at least 10 weeks (as you said) the 967th event could not be later than W10 (Apr 21)

If the event will be on June 30, the look have to be in the second half and they could tell us that it will be in the second half (vs. they said "I can’t tell you first half or second half")

Again, (and I could not be more detailed):
- they know the event date more or less precisely
- they have an estimation for the shortest and longest duration for the analysis
- in case of the shortest: DMC recommendation will be in the first half
- in case of the longest: DMC recommendation will be in the second half
- if the the shortest is at lest 9/10 weeks, the event could not be later than end of April.

Best,
G

#STRONGERTOGETHER

Disclosure: I am long with this stock. I wrote this post myself, and it expresses my own opinions (IMHO). I am not receiving compensation for it.

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