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Re: Smokey21 post# 46900

Thursday, 12/10/2015 10:28:30 AM

Thursday, December 10, 2015 10:28:30 AM

Post# of 709533
I was reading an article the other day about an upgrade of the price estimate for KITE, in the validation portion of the article the analyst estimated a 45% chance of success of their KTE-C19 trial.

So, less chance of success than a coin flip.

It caused me to think of what people think our probability of success is with L? I know what most people will say the probability is, depending on who you talk to (ranging from 0%-100%).

How about for fun we test this?

What is your opinion of the probability of success of the phase III DC-VAX L trial in percentage terms?
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