Friday, July 24, 2015 1:56:38 AM
also check the article i posted to gdl.
just one of many rumblings that this earnings season might not be as rosy overall as it is for a few individual stocks.
for SPY traders, the key is how many S&P 500 companies are winning vs losing
and the relative weighing of the winners in the index.
fwiw, here's a some more reading to consider:
http://www.trpropresearch.com/pdf/This_Week_In_Earnings.pdf/
July 17, 2015
upside:
Of the 60 companies in the S&P 500 that have reported earnings to date for Q2 2015, 72% have reported earnings above analyst expectations. This is above the long-term average of 63% and above the average over the past four quarters of 69%.
downside:
Second quarter earnings are expected to decline 1.7% from Q2 2014.
50% of companies have reported Q2 2015 revenue above analyst expectations. This is below the long- term average of 60% and is below the average over the past four quarters of 56%.
For Q2 2015, there have been 98 negative EPS preannouncements issued by S&P 500 corporations compared to 25 positive EPS preannouncements. By dividing 98 by 25, one arrives at an N/P ratio of 3.9 for the S&P 500 Index.
and this Yardeni report:
http://www.yardeni.com/Pub/peacockfeval.pdf
with many charts showing declining earnings in 2015 vs 2014.
?
99.99% of all pinks are scams. Best to assume the other 0.01% are as well.
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