Amarin Corp Plc (AMRN)

[rafunrafun]

One thing never did and still doesn't make sense to me and I'm hoping to get a logical explanation and none that say "institutions don't touch cheap stocks". We're hovering around a $1. Most here agree that we will be stopped after the interim readout. Most agree that we have enough $ to get us to that point without the need to dilute. Most agree that efficacy will be > 20%. Finally if all these happen (as if not most, at least half believe that they will), most surely believe that pps will be $15-30.... Now having said that, it doesn't sound rational that a stock is likely to skyrocket 1500% - 3000% and there are hardly any seriously takers. Yes, I keep hearing that many institutions can't touch stocks at such low prices, but if the ROI and the odds were really so fantastic, don't you think that there are plenty individuals and/or HFs who would jump at such opportunity and the PPS would not be anywhere to where it currently is?

It's as if someone says: invest $1,000 and in 15 months, there is a 70% that it will your into $23,000. If that was true, there would be a riot of investors. So please, tell me where I am incorrect in my previous sentence. Is the 15 month period too short (then make it 20). Is the 70% chance of success too big (either tell me why or ever make it 50%, you'd still get 1:23 ROI. Is the $23,000 wishful thinking? Make it $15, it's still 1:15.

So please, tell me what I'm missing.