Alpha Pro Tech (APT)

[Imperial Whazoo]

Look at the sizes of the buys right now.

Just like yesterday, the buys are 100 shares.... 200 shares.... a few 1000 share trades.

Now look at that afterhours ticker from yesterday:
http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=107922051

Big difference in the nature of the executed trades.

I watch this stock all the time. Today is like Thursday is like Wednesday is like Tuesday.... etcetera, etcetera, etcetera.

Watching paint dry. Whoo hoo! After lunch, I'll do some calisthenics to try to keep from dozing off, LOL!!

The MMs are walking this puppy sytematically down. I agree with the posters who have said this in several posts in the last day or two.... because I think there is a plan by some players to build sizable positions in this stock (and in several other key stocks related to this Ebola threat).

Also, IMHO, there is an unspoken, unprovable, "mind-set conspiracy" to dampen down all vectors of which "Ebola Panic" consists.

And "MINDSET CONSPIRACY" is my own, made up wording that I've resorted to to put into words what I think is really going on in situations like this one. Its just my way of trying to wrap wording around an inexplicable circumstance. These things always make sense. They just do so in ways that are not along normal sight-lines of thought, thats all. All my opinion, mind you.

So, that said, it is natural for self-preservation to kick in when "the powers that be" are threatened by a black swan event.

So, I agree with the expression of suspicion found in several posts since yesterday's news. There is a broad spectrum, unspoken concensus to remove the events of which the Ebola black-swan event consists from the spot-light. A MIND-SET CONSPIRACY rather than an enunciated, devious plan, IMHO, but folks are entitled to be bigger conspiracy theorists if ythey like. Whatever floats your boat, IMHO. I prefer MINDSET CONSPIRACY.

That said, when news of big sales in a haz-mat suit manufacturer comes out, it is to be expected for the price to react counter to the way it would be expected to have done at first blush.

Mindsets want the price down because they do not want panic, and players want price down so they can make as much money as possible while the crisis plays itself out.

Here's why, IMHO.

Yesterday afternoon, players who watch and buy and sell afterhours, bought in sizable chunks on the news.
Again, compare today to this post's data. The conclusins jump out at you.

http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=107922051

Now, why then are folks not buying with similar vigor right now? And also, aren't those players who jumped in after hours net losers due for having overpaid for their buys yeaterday after hours?

Think differently. :o)

Ask yourself this question: If there was to be a buying buzz during trading hours, when all eyes are on the tape, what would retail traders see?

They would see activity that says, in effect, that they need to step across the bid/ask and buy at the ask.

What happens when the buying activity is more on the ask than on the bid?

Price rises.

Lets say there are players who want to get large positions in APT. If they let price go crazy like it did on 10/7 thru 10/13, they have to buy at higher prices. Right?

If you want to make a lot of money, what serves to attain this goal better: buying at unexploding levels or hurriedly buying when price is exploding?

The 10/7 thru 10/13 explosion in price was not supported by news that the company was selling in a manner that would of supported the increased price, was it?

I mean.... Ebola hit the headlines and prices in all kinds of "Ebola plays" went up hugely, right?

But this rise happened prior to news from the companies that ran up, didn't it? So, without supporting news for John Q. Public to digest, prices in all the "Ebola plays" fell to Earth immediately, right?

So what was the news that came out yesterday afternoon? It was the buttressing needed to build a reason into the chart of APT. Thats what it was. Yesterday's after hours news was SUBSTANCE that places APT on the radar scope as a legitimate stock to play for the duration of the "Ebola crisis" black-swan event.

Simple as that.

With yesterday's news, is the company in a position to have its price go up and remain up because of its financials being supportive of the rise in price?

Yes.

So, if you are a player who realizes that the Ebola crisis will not go away, who heard the announcement by Obama that he wants a budget of 6.18 Billion for thie Ebola fight.....

....if you are a player who realizes that this company is making money, has no debt, is not over-capitalized, does not have to sell shares to ramp up manufacturing, and has exansion ready to go to meet demand, what would you like to see happen to the price of the stock right now?

Would you like for price to go back down so you can buy in over the remainder of the fall or would you prefer to be forced to buy in at a fast clip as prices go up in reaction to the news that just came out?

Remember, this stock is lightly held, thinly traded, and it has a small float. As such, it can be pushed around by small MM pays.

I think it is as plain as the nose on my face that this stock is favored now by players looking to make money off the "Ebola crisis" black swan event. And these guys want to build positions over time. Yesterday's after hours news was a chance for them to accumulate out of the retail spotlight. And now that the daylight hours are here, they are back reading from the script they operated by each day since the explosion in price in October.

Its as simple as that.

One thing has to be grasped: 95% of all people who are in this stock do not lead with their wallets. Only a small number of buyers have the where-with-all to plan ahead by doing the heavy lifting required to accumulate sizable positions at low prices.

Most people follow.

The MMS know that bringing the price down after fabulous news causes indecision amongst the masses.

A guy may want to buy, but when he sees price fall when it logically ought to rise, the doubt that is injected into the equation causes him to NOT buy.

NOT BUYING looks like the chart that is happening right now. The bid gets stepped back, a penny at a time. MMs, with the deep pockets and the control, sell a paltry amount at the bid. Sell at the bid, not the ask. Lower the bid a penny. Do it again.

The net net is that there are no people willing to step across the bid/ask and buy at the ask.

The guys like the ones who bought in big chunks after hours did so because fewer eyes were watching.

They do not mind buying at higher prices after hours. The know that 3.40 & 3.50 is a discount price to pay, and they use the camo of it being after hours as cover to let them step into much more sizable positions, on which they KNOW they will make money anyway over time. And who wants to pay taxes this year if they can buy now, hold a couple of months, and sell after the news of the successes gets files with the SEC after Jan 1? Why not use short term tax free money for a couple or three months?

Duh!

So, they rush in under the cover of after hours darkness. Then they go back to leveraging the habit of doubt that governs the masses, who only know how to follow.

They let their MMs walk the price back and the return to employing the turtle-wins-the-race playbook that sees them offset the higher cost the paid in the afterhour by cost averaging down via the machanations of the MMs through whom they conduct their daily buying & selling.

Thats how I see it. Could be wrong, of course, LOL

Hope this helps. :o)

Imperial Whazoo