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Re: imho post# 3993

Thursday, 04/13/2006 11:41:38 AM

Thursday, April 13, 2006 11:41:38 AM

Post# of 6903
IMHO, many really good points that I agree with. So I will just comment on a couple things I felt differently about:

Re: Inventories is an area I have questions about. While the value of inventories are down, which usually is positive, they did not mention if units were down respectively. Is it possible they anticipate lower ASP's going forward and valueing the inventory accordingly? Later, they said they want higher inventory, which if my reasoning has any merrit, implies they want higher ASP (obviously). None of the analysts pinned them down on inventory units vs. dollar value. I dont recall a ASP projection for the future quarter.

They actually made a very good story about inventories. They said they loved being lean, and that they are trying to see how lean they can get. This is a good thing generally when capacity limited, but as you said, this isn't the case with AMD. It sounded like they were at or near capacity, though, because they continued to brag about higher desktop and mobile ASP. They also claimed that in some quarters, it makes sense to build inventories if you don't think your factories can meet demand. This might happen towards the end of the year.

As for ASPs, they did not give exact figures, but still mentioned that they are striving for the $100 threshold. This continues to amaze me, since almost everything on their price list is well *in excess* of $100. I think AMD continues to seriously discount some parts. It sounds like they have discounted Opteron this quarter to gain additional market share. It's a good thing that they did gain more market share, but I wonder at their current ASPs how low they are actually offering these parts....

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