Your analogy, while superficially appealing, is flawed. Winning a lottery - even though you bought a ticket - is still entirely at the mercy of chance.
Baltia's expectation of certification by October 1st is the result of their having done the work to earn said certification.
Huge difference.
BLTA
I don't have "humble" opinions and never will!, so if you can't deal with that, just do us both a favour and put me on ignore!