US Energy Initiatives Corp (USEI)

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Colorado Highway Fatalities Are Lower Since Pot Became Legal

http://politix.topix.com/story/13436-colorado-highway-fatalities-are-lower-since-pot-became-legal

On a higher note…no pun intended…HOW DO YOU THINK THAT SHORT SELLERS MAINTAIN SUCH A STRONG, CONTROLLING GRIP OVER OTC STOCKS AND THEIR PPS? How to minimize risk when shorting OTC stocks.

One of the problems with a lot of pump and dumps is that there are often not any shares to short when the stock is about to fall. However, there are often shares available to short days before, when the pump is just starting. For example, there were at least 5,000 shares per day of WXYZ available to short at Broker #1 for many days prior to its big drop day. However, from January 19th (the day before its big drop) to January 21st (the 2nd big drop day) there were no shares available to short at Broker #1.

So what can a short seller do? The simple answer is to box the shares (this is also referred to as simply boxing). Boxing originated as a tax technique designed to delay the realization of capital gains while eliminating the risk of holding a stock. So for example an investor who was long 1,000 shares of stock would then go short against the box, selling short an equal number of shares either in the same account (some brokers let you do this) or in another account, if he believed the stock was temporarily overvalued. This eliminated the risk of holding the stock and did not require realizing a huge taxable capital gain. This tax loophole was closed in 1997. Now the only reason to box shares is to lock up short shares.

What I do on many pumps (the ones I know I will want to short sell) is I short shares at broker #1 while going long an equal number of shares at Broker #2. Sometimes I will already be long in the stock as I do sometimes try to make money by buying pumps (but shorting is much easier). Other times I will scalp to open the boxed position (for example I might scalp short and then buy long in my other account to box, rather than covering).

By boxing the shares I accomplish two things: (1) I can now short whenever I want by selling my long shares, even long after no new shares are available to short, and (2) I can get better fills when I do decide to short an OTC stock because Broker #2 has more direct-routing options than does Broker #1.

So how did I implement this play for a pumped stock? I shorted 3000 shares at Broker #1 at an average price of $2.51 on 1/14 (that I later covered at $2.096 on 1/20 and 1/21). The same day, I bought 3000 shares in my Broker #2 account (I think I actually ended up buying for poor scalps multiple times, which explains why my average buy price is so much higher than my average short, and why Profit. ly has the position size at 4900 shares).

To get net short on 1/19 when the stock was looking weak and I thought it might drop, I sold my long shares at Broker #2, and I rebought them when the stock held up (again, I had partial fills and some scalping so Profit. ly shows more than 3000 shares). On 1/20, soon after the open, the stock looked weak and actually went red on the day. I shorted then by selling my long shares and I bought them back for a loss. When it went red again just a little bit later I believed it was time for the death drop and I sold my long shares a final time (2500 at $2.83 and 500 at $2.85).

To cover, later that day and the next day, I covered my short shares at Broker #1. I covered 2,000 shares on 1/20 at an average price of about $2.16; Broker #1 bought in 800 of my remaining shares at 2.05 the next morning, and I covered the last 200 shares into the 2nd down day morning panic at $1.64. Overall I netted $1913.21 from my trades on the stock. Even considering the total capital I needed to make these trades (6,000 shares * a maximum price of $2.89 = $17,340), my percentage return was nice (11.0%).

There are of course downsides to boxing. It uses up capital (and if you aren’t careful you can generate a margin call in one account even though you are not losing money overall), generally requires multiple brokerage accounts, generates more commissions, and requires more planning than just shorting. That being said, as long as the net result is a profit on a stock that would not have been otherwise shortable when you wanted to short it, the end result makes the hassle worthwhile. The only risk to boxing is forced buy-ins of short positions. This actually happened to a couple traders I know who had boxed shares of the stock in preparation for its big down day. One of those traders was forced by Broker #1 to cover his short shares right at the open on 1/20, just an hour before the stock dropped. However, being forced to cover part of a boxed position will only saddle a trader with the costs of commissions and slippage.

A note on the psychology of boxing: I have seen other traders refer to ‘making money’ on one side of a boxed position while ‘losing money’ on the other side. I do not think of it like that. If I am long the same number of shares I am short, I have no net position and no risk. I consider myself ‘flat’ and think about it as if I had no positions in the stock. I then consider myself to be shorting when I sell my long shares.

I said all that to say this...TAKE SOME PROFITS...play with house money...never underestimate the organization, experience, knowledge, and financing of the MM's who manipulate stock PPS on a regular basis. Learn from the bashers, the shorters, how they team up to fleece unsuspecting investors... All JMHO, of course, FWIW $1.11

"May you run, with endurance, the race that is set before you; keeping your eyes on the finish line."