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Re: jessellivermore post# 31195

Sunday, 07/27/2014 5:27:21 PM

Sunday, July 27, 2014 5:27:21 PM

Post# of 423670
JL

Quick follow up

On reading an old post by Biwatch #27152.

He is estimating 443 MACE events by August 6th and "about every day we should have a new event "...so that will take us to about 800 events by August 2015.

In which case I expect the DMC may wait until they hit the agreed on interim analysis # of 967 ...so at an event rate of 1 a day ...that takes us into early 2016 ...unless there is a wide enough divergence in event lines with high enough confidence to enable the DMC to advise stopping the trial for efficacy before then.

And there in lies the gamble as I don't see Amarins cash lasting much ( if at all ) into 2016

Kiwi
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