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Monday, May 12, 2014 5:51:47 AM
So I'm trying to use a range of the Kelly Criterion to approximate the appropriate position size for VRNG in my portfolio
Using:
p = prob of win
b = payout on bet
[p * b - (1 - p)] / b
I'd appreciate it if anyone can help me get a better approximation of prob and/or payout, e.g., historic probabilities regarding CAFC & SCOTUS appeals, etc...
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