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3 day downward trend broken. Rules now change. If we did not hold .016 then .11 would be low for tomorrow IMO. We may break and hold the EMA8 today .021. If we do then the .016 bottom confirmed. IMO
SWVC looking good. From a chart perspective .016 was the low to be tested from September 26,2007. .016 has been tested and someone who knew that played it safe and bought a little bit from a lot of scared investors at .0165. I wonder who that was? Some people here were waiting for the lower BB to be tested at a low which would have been .014 today. This did not occur. Those looking to buy at a low it appears .016 was bottom. I expect a slow gradual climb up from here over the next 5-7 days as this pattern was seen at the time of the OCT 12, 2007 10ksb/a and 10Qsb/a. Same pattern. SWVC has a trade pattern and is predictable.
SWVC chart:
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=swvc&p=D&yr=0&mn=4&dy=0&id=p73341796134
SWVC long term play chart
The following is the reason why SWVC share holders should relax. Our turn is coming soon.
SWVC is in the basing stage according to a very well established charting system called the Stan Weinstein stage analysis or the Weinstein scan. When we break and hold the EMA30 then we will begin our steady climb up. The chart says it all.
SWVC chart http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=swvc&p=W&yr=3&mn=0&dy=0&id=p75373894784
Weinstein stage analysis example
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=OEGY&p=W&yr=3&mn=0&dy=0&id=p75373894784&a=121966908
Below is an example of a stock that had a similar scenario as SWVC but it did not work. The trick here is to look at the RSI during the basing stage on SWVC and the Weinstein example. The stock below did not show a RSI that spent time at .8 to 1.0. The chart tells the story of what people on the inside are doing. You judge for yourselves. Basing could go on for 1 month more -that is ok. If you want to flip this stock only then buy at the bottom of the base and sell at the top- its that easy.
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=fccn&p=W&yr=3&mn=0&dy=0&id=p75373894784
Weinstein Analysis
http://www.sharehunter.net/WeinsteinAnalysis.htm
sharehunterStan Weinstein’s great contribution to understanding the volatility of share prices and to the important aspect of the timing of a buy or sell is his discovery and illustration of the life cycle of a share. He calls this ‘Stage Analysis’.
For example, if a stock trades between a high price and a low price for many weeks or months (or even years) it has ‘support’ at the low end and ‘resistance’ at the top end. As long as the stock continues to trade within this range then the buying and the selling pressures are roughly equal. That is why the stock remains stuck in the ‘tram-lines’ price range.
Eventually, either the buying (positive force) or the selling (negative force) will simply run out of energy. Once that happens the stock will either break above resistance or it will fall below support.
A break above resistance is usually accompanied by a ‘spike’ increase in volume and is usually followed by a rapid increase in price. It is not so much that an increase in buying has set in that makes the price start to rise; more usually it is simply that the sellers have run out of shares to sell. With the sellers no longer prominent the buyers are able to take over and the price runs up.
This is the best ‘buy’ point as it is usually the most profitable because it happens at the start of a long term ‘bull’ run.
The reverse is where the buyers are outweighed by the sellers and the price of the stock breaks below the bottom of the range. Here, usually, is the ideal point at which to ‘short’ the stock; certainly, the worst time to buy the stock as the fall is often sharp and can be painfully steep.
Weinstein found these price movements to be common to all stocks and he has identified four distinct phases in the life cycle of a stock, what he calls ‘Stage Analysis’.
His four Stages are –
Stage 1 - Accumulation/Stock Basing
Stage 2 - Uptrend/Rising Prices
Stage 3 - Distribution/Topping out
Stage 4 - Downtrend/Declining Prices
Each of these four Stages is characterised by a distinct pattern caused by the fundamental market forces of supply and demand. In Stages 1 and 3 buyers and sellers are roughly equal. In Stage 2 buyers have the upper hand and in Stage 4 selling is the strongest force.
As an investor you do not want to own a stock that is being sold off (Stage 4); nor do you want to buy a stock that is topping out (Stage 3). Understanding the life cycle of a stock shows you when it is best to buy the stock, when it is advisable to leave it alone and when you should sell it.
Stage 1 - Accumulation/Basing Phase
The stock tends to trade in a narrow range and appears to be ‘dead money’ to the average investor. This phase usually happens after a long decline or a lengthy advance. It can last for weeks, months or, sometimes, years. Generally, the longer the basing phase lasts the greater is the eventual breakout.
The forces of supply and demand are more or less in balance; there is no big buying excitement nor are there any waves of selling either. During this time the average investor will often sell out – either because of fear that the price will fall further or out of impatience at the lack of any rise. The general view is that the stock is going ‘nowhere’.
A ‘Stage 1’ trading range defines the base for future price action. Stocks that are basing bounce within a zone of a high and low price. Sellers often wait for the stock to get to the top of its range before they sell. In so doing they create the price area of ‘resistance’ – a price that the stock cannot seem to get through. When it reaches this level of resistance the price repeatedly falls back (because it is being sold off). The more often it does this the greater is the resistance. The Stage 1 Basing phase lasts as long as the resistance level holds and the stock remains stuck in its trading range.
Experience shows that the longer this stage continues the longer and greater will be the eventual Stage 2 Uptrend phase.
Stage 2 – Uptrend/Rising Prices
If the buyers (the ‘smart-money’ ones) continue to accumulate shares the sellers will get fewer and fewer. At this point the ‘resistance’ gets taken out as the price moves above its trading range ceiling. The ‘bulls’ get the upper hand with the stock, not because there are suddenly more buyers, but simply because the sellers are disappearing.
Quite often at this time the ‘fundamentals’ of the stock are viewed as poor and most analysts will be negative on the stock and any stockbroker may try to talk a client out of buying the stock – even though it is the very best time to buy!
As a buyer you are likely to be a lot better off by following the smart-money buyers (whose footprints will show up in the Stage Analysis technical chart of the stock) than by following the opinions of fundament analysts and stockbrokers.
As demand for the stock increases and outpaces the supply institutions and insiders will begin to compete to buy the stock. Their view of the stock’s fundamentals begins to change and they take a more positive view of it and, instead of just buying on the dips, will now buy into the rising price.
On the technical chart a ‘Stage 2’ advance is evidenced by a rising 30-week moving average (MA) with the (rising) price having risen up through the MA and remaining above it.
As the Advance continues the word that the fundamentals of the stock look positive gets louder and better known or, sometimes, a development of the company becomes common knowledge. As this happens the average investor and the general public become increasingly interested in the stock and begin to buy as well. Stockbroker analysts and newspaper tipsters begin to put the stock on their recommended buys lists. And so the price rises and rises.
Stage 3 – Distribution/Topping Out
Eventually, the share price gets ahead of itself and its advance stops. This can be weeks, months or even years later. It may be that the insiders view is that the valuation of the share is too high or perhaps the prospects for the company’s expansion no longer appear so rosy. Whatever the reason, there is a point at which the ‘smart money’ decides that it is time to start taking profits.
To the outside world the view of the company’s prospects still appear good and so there is no shortage of willing buyers. Such buyers have seen the price of the stock rise and rise and they see no reason why it should not continue to rise. They are encouraged by continuing strong reports on the company’s prospects from stockbrokers analysts, newspapers etc.
But the smart money, the insiders, the market traders, know better. They start selling into the rallies, gently, so as not to cause any collapse of the share price. The result is that the share price begins to flatten and to move sideways (bouncing off support and resistance levels again). It trades in a range (just like in the basing phase) but with greater volatility and price swings.
In this phase the ‘smart money’ is distributing shares instead of accumulating them.
On the Stage Analysis chart this Stage 3 phase is characterised by a sideways, wavy, 30-week moving average with the share price criss-crossing it, sometimes quite sharply.
Stage 3 lasts as long as the selling and buying pressure remain roughly equal. Once the buyers fall away the stock will break down below its trading range and will begin its liquidation phase.
Stage 4 – Share Liquidation/Downtrend
While a stock is being sold-off after a long price advance it is the in-the-know traders (the ‘smart-money’) who are selling into the rallies and the late-arrivals (the ‘average investors’) who are buying on the dips. Once the number of late-arrival buyers drops off, sellers outweigh buyers and so they then no longer wait for rallies before unloading their holdings of the share and sell ‘at best’. And so the price starts to decline faster.
At the beginning of a Stage4, as the price begins its decent, the average investor remains convinced that it is nothing but a temporary correction and that the price will start to rise again. The good news about the company and/or its business fundamentals remain good and the stock is still considered as a ‘buy’ or at least a ‘hold’ by most stock brokers analysts.
Buyers at this point (mistakenly) believe that the stock is now cheap and a ‘good buy’ and they become convinced that the stock has bottomed out, thinking that the price will return to its earlier highs.
It is a fact that the greater the Stage 2 price rise the longer the stock will remain popular during the beginning of its Stage 4 decline.
The sad truth is that the late buyers of the stock in Stages 3 and 4 become the sucker bag-holders for the smart-money sellers of the stock.
And it is those same smart-money traders who become buyers of the stock once those same bag-holders become totally disillusioned and sell out at the very bottom of the price cycle…just as a new uptrend is beginning.
A Stage 4 decline starts with the average investor full of hope….followed by holding in disbelief….then selling out in stressed-out panic at or very near to the final low.
On the Stage Analysis technical chart this is often very obvious as it shows up as a large volume spike, way above the average volume of the preceding months and years!
It is a common misconception that the end of a big decline and the start of a recovery in prices is when the big institutions decide that the market is cheap and start to buy.
In reality, it is not that way at all, indeed many institutions are themselves bag-holders through inertia.
No, stock market declines end when there is no more selling i.e. when the last bag-holder has sold out in panic and desperation; when all those who bought in hope of price rises finally lose hope.
On the chart the Stage 4 Decline is characterised by a falling 30-week moving average and with the intermittent highs and lows all occurring underneath the moving average. It is not until the price rises and breaks up to close above the moving average that the Stage 4 decline can be said to be at an end.
With no sellers left the stock price holds its ground and starts to move sideways …and so a new cycle, starting with Stage 1 Accumulation/Basing…begins.
The most profitable time to buy into a stock is at the end of a Stage 1 Accumulation phase and the start of a Stage 2 Uptrend phase. This is the time to buy in low, along with the clever money, and then to sell high along with those same ‘canny’ traders who know so much more than the vast majority of ordinary investors.
Having this knowledge (supplied to you by ShareHunterSelect) and putting it to use in the market with the added bonus of information on when to sell to take your profits is worth more than buying any number of trading systems or trading on “fundamentals”.
SWVC long term play chart
The following is the reason why SWVC share holders should relax. Our turn is coming soon.
SWVC is in the basing stage according to a very well established charting system called the Stan Weinstein stage analysis or the Weinstein scan. When we break and hold the EMA30 then we will begin our steady climb up. The chart says it all.
SWVC chart http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=swvc&p=W&yr=3&mn=0&dy=0&id=p75373894784
Weinstein stage analysis example
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=OEGY&p=W&yr=3&mn=0&dy=0&id=p75373894784&a=121966908
Thanks chartinator. I use various parameters. I also use the rsi and macd. Chart is getting closer but not quite yet. unfortunately any thing can happen even though we expect a chart set up in the next few to several days.:)
check it out:
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=toa&p=D&yr=0&mn=4&dy=0&id=p73341796134
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=toa&p=D&yr=1&mn=0&dy=0&id=p52457277027
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=toa&p=D&yr=0&mn=0&dy=5&id=p64471847038
symbol teaching:
http://www.americ*nbulls.com/StockPage.asp?CompanyTicker=TOA&MarketTicker=NYSE&TYP=S
fix the american spelling above to get link to work
IGOR LIKE WHAT IGOR SEE!
Thanks chartinator. I use various parameters. I also use the rsi and macd. Chart is getting closer but not quite yet. unfortunately any thing can happen even though we expect a chart set up in the next few to several days.:)
check it out:
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=toa&p=D&yr=0&mn=4&dy=0&id=p73341796134
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=toa&p=D&yr=1&mn=0&dy=0&id=p52457277027
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=toa&p=D&yr=0&mn=0&dy=5&id=p64471847038
OOPS- Earnings out. 8am call tommorrow.
Assured Guaranty Ltd. Reports Third Quarter 2007 Net Loss Due to Previously Announced Unrealized Mark-to-Market Loss on Derivatives; Operating Income Per Diluted Share Rises 32%
Looking better!
Candlestick Analysis
Today’s Candlestick Patterns:
Long Legged Doji
Buy-if
http://www.americ*nbulls.com/StockPage.asp?CompanyTicker=AGO&MarketTicker=NYSE&Typ=S
Buy signal getting closer!
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=toa&p=D&yr=0&mn=4&dy=0&id=p73341796134
and
http://www.americ*nbulls.com/StockPage.asp?CompanyTicker=TOA&MarketTicker=NYSE&TYP=S
fix the american spelling above to get link to work
philghunt, tomorrow might just be the day.:)
news!!!!!!!
The 2nd acquisition may have been registered with the SEC. How many millions more does that add to our total assets? Somebody help me!
Now doesn't that sound good? The timing is perfect. Thank you Germans for the heads up! Referring to post 87821.
NEWS IS COMING!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.asp?message_id=24298290
SHO History for SWVC--I wonder who needs to cover now?
http://www.pinksheets.com/pink/quote/quote.jsp?symbol=swvc#getShortInfo
Date Reg SHO Threshold Flag
Nov 2, 2007 Yes
Nov 1, 2007 Yes
Oct 31, 2007 Yes
Oct 30, 2007 Yes
Oct 9, 2007 Yes
Oct 5, 2007 Yes
Oct 4, 2007 Yes
Oct 3, 2007 Yes
Oct 2, 2007 Yes
Short Interest
Date Short Interest % Change Avg. Daily Share Volume Days to Cover Split New Issue
Oct 25, 2007 226,136 -55.61 21,948,493 1.00 No No
Oct 10, 2007 509,403 -15.50 38,503,556 1.00 No No
Sep 26, 2007 602,873 5,925.72 50,447,768 1.00 No No
Jul 25, 2007 2,545 -83.82 43,347,304 1.00 No No
Jun 27, 2007 15,725 911.90 543,861 1.00 No No
Apr 24, 2007 805 -79.26 337,206 1.00 No No
Mar 26, 2007 3,882 77,540.00 122,515 1.00 No No
Feb 27, 2007 5 -99.89 39,078 1.00 No No
Jan 24, 2007 4,563 192.88 32,529 1.00 No No
Dec 27, 2006 1,558 100.00 52,626 1.00 No No
my favorite SWVC picture:
Do you mean we are being saved by higher pps and possible news!
Good DD on SWVC has made this a very popular stock. $100 invested in SWVC on 11-14-05 and traded by candle stick indicators would be worth $45,362 today. Now who can say SWVC is not a great stock?
http://www.americanbulls.com/StockPage.asp?CompanyTicker=SWVC&MarketTicker=OTC&TYP=S
Today a White Spinning Top was formed. This is good.Read and learn.
http://www.americanbulls.com/StockPage.asp?CompanyTicker=SWVC&MarketTicker=OTC&TYP=S
Looks like around 1 week roughly to get to bottom.
Chart still needs time to set up IMO.
madstock thanks for your positive imformation. It is definitely appreciated.
"I checked german board. The german guys expecting news.
Check this CIK no. 0000884380 on SEC.
There's something comming
Yes Baby, Thats the big rock for my pussycat"
A white candle tomorrow and we are off. The problem is someone here does not want that to happen. Can you believe it?
Newbies check out chart. If the share price increases tomorrow then the AROON8 up(Green) will move up. that will give us a white candle which is the buy signal traders need to pile in. When the Aroon8 up(green-line) moves up and crosses the 50 and the Aroon8Down (green line) moves down then SWVC will have full confirmation and that could be our .10 and higher run.
chart:
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=SWVC&p=D&yr=0&mn=4&dy=0&id=p73341796134
candle indicator
http://www.americanbulls.com/StockPage.asp?CompanyTicker=SWVC&MarketTicker=OTC&TYP=S
SWVC rated as BUY IF on the following link:
http://www.americanbulls.com/StockPage.asp?CompanyTicker=SWVC&MarketTicker=OTC&TYP=S
SWVC chart is looking very nice and traders are watching this one because it is so popular. They will trade based on chart and we have some nice entry signals here. Some people would like you to believe it is not true. We all know better!!!
]
SWVC chart
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=SWVC&p=D&yr=0&mn=4&dy=0&id=p73341796134
Our nice looking and about to get nicer looking chart:
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=SWVC&p=D&yr=0&mn=4&dy=0&id=p73341796134
Moving to a higher exchange with your scenario would be excellent IMO. Now are you thinking long term here.:)
Puppydotcom this stock has had share buy back! Your SWVC posts are factually incorrect.
Share buy back/retirement is a way to reduce shares.:)
SWVC KICKS ASK!
I filled 5000 shares at .023. I put a buy at .0235.
I will put end of day order .0235-5000 shares to close green
I am buying 5000 at .023
Hit the ask. Its working!
bought 5000 at .029- support your stock!
Selling is done- follow chart. This stock will pop on buy pressure. Watch for the AROON8 up(green}IMO to start to turn positive-currently at zero. Watch AROON8 up-(green}
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=swvc&p=D&yr=0&mn=4&dy=0&id=p73341796134
NO more dilution. Selling is done!!!
Last 10 minutes to buy. Load em up!
I predict EOD rally. Close .027.
We may close today above open(.0265) and show a nice white candle for Monday. That would make for a nice weekend.
Movin on up!