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what does he say about a close over 944?
btw AET...
still looks to be in a bearish downtrend to me. I wouldn't touch under the weekly and monthly f lines which converge over 24....if it gets over, you have my attention, otherwise too risky, it hasn't bottomed.
syn, you are within a stone's throw from your spx target--no ever says you need to touch it to confir. many other technicians were looking for 942.75....
this could be a situation of "close enough"
i am long dow till 9190 ish, short gold and long apple from $83
syn you think a pullback is in order here to complete the right shoulder?
then a move to 950 ish before a major fall?
too bad you told everybody not to touch apple at $80....:)
i am short skf with puts to $36
tons of gaps to be filled the other way too....
or don't those count when everyone is wishcasting the market lower?
ahh...mann..you got me...
scared me out of my JAN 2010 $20 calls at $6.70....
you bastid..
what happens if we take out 833 spx?
syn...just a few days before this post you were calling for big up days and a start to a rally that would extend from march or june (that's 1/3 of a year btw)...then new lows to an ultimate byig opportunity in october...now, new lows now followed by a rally into the ed of the summer...quite a change in 5 days time...
but syn, isn't apple all about the platform, not just the product?
ipod wasn't about the actual ipod, it was all about itunes....look at itunes today and how fast it became the largest music retailer...and it created a halo effect on the mac.
iphone isn't about the phone, it's about the platform...the software and the apps store....that's why the ipod touch, even in this economy, is selling incredibly well even though it's the most expensive "mp3" player out there...both are riding the next big wave...and so far apple is out in front...the apps store....content, games, information, unlimited potential...more apps being added every day....and anothr halo.
think about all those who proclaimed itunes a failure out of the gate....
syn..on apple we had a decisive break below $85...even $80...you still think $55-$70?
I have puts as a hedge, but much heavier weighted in LEAPS.
"so yesterday's candle holds as long as it doesn't get taken out"
now that's some serious TA
uhhh...I didnt realize that India was the only other country "overseas".
if you read the article, it makes a lot of stupid assumptions...
and how much marketshare did apple gain "overseas" in the past year? offfering the phone i how many countries?
well, maybe tomorrow. today was an ugly day--again.
unless something dramatic happens overnight, the oct lows are history tomorrow. so much for a successful test.
i AM LONG APPLE LEAPS, so i am ready, but getting killed none the less.
this country basically SHUT down in mid september, all the retailers are stating the same thing...part of that was a rsult of the fear mongering media as well as the government scaring everyone into te passage of that 700 billio bail out--they were on everyday, pleading their case...interesting you haven't heard since.
yeah, great article by some no name....tell me, how have they fallen short of 100,000 by December 2009, when it is only November 2008. is that the same as when everyone was saying no way they would sell 10 million by the end of 2008? no way, no how?
lets see, 11,000 to dat in what? a little over a month? extrapolate that out over the next 13 months...yep, on pace for 100,000 by December 2009.
or was it december 2008 and this idiot can't edit her own stories?
what exactly is his call here?
higher or lower?
$13-14?
you were screaming brcm was a buy at $21...you can do the math...
and as for the s&p, what happened to the 10/23 cycle low and big rally into next February?
This is what you said on November 3rd post 80653:
"Can iphone demand already be slowing?"
First, don't even go there re:ESL or reading comprehension with that atrocity.
second, you never "said" what? that you were implying you were surprised demand was slowing? then don't use the adverb "already" next time...mr. command of the english language. It implies surprisingly soon...as used in the context of your post--kind of like you live under a rock or something and are surprised sales of the phone are slowing down so soon, oblivious to the macroeconomic environment, capitan obvious.
adverb
1 before or by now or the time in question : Anna has suffered a great deal already.
• as surprisingly soon or early as this : at 31, he already suffers from arthritis | already it was past four o' clock.
2 informal used as an intensive after a word or phrase to express impatience : enough already with these crazy kids and their wacky dances!
ORIGIN Middle English : from all (as an adverb) + ready ; sense 2 is influenced by Yiddish use.
This is what you said on November 3rd post 80653:
"Can iphone demand already be slowing?"
First, don't even go there re:ESL or reading comprehension with that atrocity.
second, you never "said" what? that you were implying you were surprised demand was slowing? then don't use the adverb "already" next time...mr. command of the english language. It implies surprisingly soon...as used in the context of your post--kind of like you live under a rock or something and are surprised sales of the phone are slowing down so soon, oblivious to the macroeconomic environment, capitan obvious.
adverb
1 before or by now or the time in question : Anna has suffered a great deal already.
• as surprisingly soon or early as this : at 31, he already suffers from arthritis | already it was past four o' clock.
2 informal used as an intensive after a word or phrase to express impatience : enough already with these crazy kids and their wacky dances!
ORIGIN Middle English : from all (as an adverb) + ready ; sense 2 is influenced by Yiddish use.
I know exactly to whom I'm responding...the guy who just said he "expects" sub 500 s&p", but posts like he's actually surprised iphone demand might be slowing "already"...wouldn't that be kinda a given, mr captain obvious?
don't let the door hit you...
i figure you were out since your ONE friend told you he was buying a dell because of the tough economic times and you extrapolated that out to mean everybody.
already?
we're in the midst of one of one of the worst economic disasters in history...
do you really think this is simply an issue with demand for the phone ebbing? this has nothing to do with demand for the phone it has to do with demand for anything...
did you see the auto sales #'s? including Toyota, Honda, Mercedes? Porche?
you act like you posted some sort of revelation....
btw...wasn't this exact crap printed when they scaled back production to phase out the 4g?
well, gee..there you have it...since winny's friend is switching to a dell, the apple tax is back...talk about empirical data!
i saw a friend in whole foods saturday who was on his way to the apple store in sagemore to buy an apple...his pc died and he determined it was time to make the switch....
i guess we have a different "demographic" in friends...
that excludes enterprise, where blackberry shines.
nope, an idiot and still holding...never expected a drop this dramatic and this fast...
that said, no one thought this would drop below 120...then 100...
the markets are screwed, see you at $60.
it'll be even more compelling at $60...
this stock has dropped 40% inthree weeks...and not a word from the company
what does that tell you?
this was an orchestrated take down of the markets, someone is pissing on america...
you think there is an end to this?
there is, and you're not going to like it.
these analysts can't predict earnings for two months, et alone two years.
now they downgrade? when all theur clients are already drowning?
where was this call 4 weeks ago? it wasn't that long ago...why make the call now? what does it accomplish?
syn, love ya man...but way off as usual...
you has the first week of sept up, nada, now this? nada.
$sox, nada.
that's because it's n longer an exclusive item for the appleheds and tech savvy--it's fast becoming a must have phone for the general pops...I received that email also, definitely geared toward the "general" audience.
it's a stock buyout...so many shares of bac for one share of mer...
i think .83 or something...the buyout was never $29, it was $29 based on the closing price of BAC that day...
if and when the deal closes and bac is trading at $20, mer will be trading at $16.60 or so...
I never said it didn't make sense, and i've been a shareholder for 4 years, so I know about the gyrations-- backdating etc.
i was simply replying to a post that was basically implying that tomorrow's event is a dud before it even starts...simply an "ipod refresh"---when in reality, he has no idea what tomorrow's event is about, he's simply reading this crap in the media and somehow thinks it's a done deal.
and you know that's all it is, how???
more sense?
they haven't even had the event yet, you're basing this on what? a few media guesses??
what do you mean by short side is closed?
if you're closing the short side, do you expect a bounce? or you are closong the short-side becasue the market is giving too many mixed signals to trade it?
thx
so why not ride the wave for the next two years and re-ealuate...isn't that what investing is about? catching the sweet spot in companies? No company stays on top forever...
but to sit here day in and day out manipulating charts to somehow show what you want them to show, while the stock does ABSOLUTELY nothing during a raging bull market is downright silly....
then to threaten to leave and shut down the board on several occasions (hmmm emotional investing?) and then tell everyone how you're still up 20% even tho the stock is going nowhere is, again, silly.
syn's a good guy--appreciative for him starting the board--but at some point you gotta let go....naz 3100 was supposed to be mrvl $50...remember? then it was $25....now it's $20 ish....then what happens when we have a MAJOR correction...mrvl to $12??
meawhile, others, who maybe are simply long the stock follow along wth syn...they aren't savvy enough to write all kinds of options spreads like syn...they're simply long...and investing on hope...and syn's charts and diatribe about where the stock is "supposed" to be trading...
pcu, fcx you like metals? cmg, you like buritto's? aapl, you like innovative products and a "brand" that everyne has to have? drys? you like the latest bull market? soooo many stocks out there....and this POS just sits...while peple are given false hope everyday by complicated, ever changing charts...
sad.
tommo....
syn was calling apple overvalued in the 90's...I'd say he missed a bit of a ride....all the while telling people how Marvell was "ready" to take off....he stated he was selling all positions and closing the board, not once, but twice...how may times can you leave?
c'MON SYN...
same old same old...
first you post the bottom in the 18's (with a chart)
then you post that we might see the 17's (with a revised chart)
now you post 16's (with yet another chart)
you don't have a clue where this stock is headed...sorry...
I'm not jumping on you over it, I'm offering a different opinion...good luck with your short...
regarding the chart...we all know how well you've faired with your MRVL charts over the past year...