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I could almost cry, but if I did I'd LMFAO. a year ago Dip shit Bye Dung said inflation was temporary. Now he making it a priority. What's the dim wit going to do? Stop flying around the country for photo ops?? He should wipe his rear with his mask then put it back on so he knows how bad he really smells..
Like in early March I said oil was near a top, 2 days later he opens his trap and oil drops into the next pivot area.
And everything I said about gas prices is also happening, has nothing to do with Ukraine that our commies in DC try to use to take the heat off of them. It's all about their adgenda that hurt those the most that they claim to help,
Enjoy it. You wanted him.
You asked about 3 issues at once. I'm not going there, am not giving it all away..
Per the spooz, as posted near the early May lo, buy in May and make some hay. Also posted we'd likely be positive into the Memorial holiday. Now we re-enter a traders theme to some extent.
If you look at the chart symmetry you'll understand most of what's happening. You need to study Gartley patterns more.
Got a busy summer in front of me.
Ole horse face Pisslosi won't address her drunken husbands behavior even when his actions puts others in danger but is so fast to cut down others. Ya when the shoe's on the other foot, so typical of career politicans/crooks
Todays PMs action is part of the confirmation I'm looking for. BTFD.
The hook might be set but I'm still sure it'll be overall sloppy before it gets going for real.
See what the first part of next week does for both the generals and PMs. That will tell us more..
thanks
A few thought I was nuts when I made the mid year canyon call and we had talked about this going into next year. In mid April I did some big pic work but have not gone past July so anything is possible. Need to find some time and see what it looks like going into Aug. That could be another high point like late March?? Way back I envisioned June or July giving us an I/T lo. Could still happen but I think the cycles are running a bit fast.
I recall mentioning near the Nov. hi I was pulling some funds out of 401Ks we manage and by late Dec. they were 100% in cash. Am thinking about tossing a bit of them back in.. Not getting carried away until I do more big pic work..
But up to this point its nuttier than I first imagined. But I should not be surprised as I've mentioned the reasons why we get these big swings... Even if we put in a mid-ish year low that holds for a couple months or longer, this traders theme IMO has a long way to go. As previously thought and I still do believe the traders theme could go longer than most can imagine. We have to remember where we've came from either the 2009 low or the mid 70s low. I like to key off the mid 70s low. Wave 4s and even 2s can take a while
Not watching this day to day makes it a bit hard for me to say just where a big low will hit. But that window could be close. Just keep in mind I feel it'll still be wild well after the low is in probably leaving lots of openings to stick your nose into something or more trade trade trade. .
Was looking at the PMs a bit closer. See they're up pre-market. Told my nephew on days like yesterday get the shovel out so he's selling my short plays he puts on and buying PMs with the cash. Don't think an I/T low is in yet but it could be.. My thinking is if the cycles continue to play out even close to what they've been doing we go into a sideways mess for weeks,, then have lift off for a month or 2. So patience is required and scalping some off on pops would be part of the initial plan..
I expect a lot of sector rotation will soon hit.
Still like bonds for my screw off play. Early next week and mid June look important. If they rally into Fri/Mon then we might get a general rally into the holiday.
The s/t swing points are starting to bunch up and that usually brings in a low of some type. Taking a few swipes at some stuff before I head out.
Had a big storm go thru last night, got firewood to make, this will keep me out of trouble for at least a week..
Idiots blaming this on Russia and Ukraine, How stupid, in Jan I said we're going into a traders market like few have seen. Meanwhile the know it alls smoked their accounts.
Those in the know knew I was generally looking down into mid year. Then I'd look at things again.. I believe the words used in an early year PM were I'm seeing a canyon midish year.. Thanks to a trouble maker not everyone was in on this.
Now down almost a 1000 points since my top call, the kids caught about 70% of it both ways. They might have done better but I told them to take profits faster than normal and wait a day or so for the next setup.
Had posted in late Dec when the permas turn bullish look out. In mid Jan they were ready to watch the sky.
Cycles rule
In an early April PM I mentioned bonds putting in a s/t lo in about 2 weeks, that call was spot on. . A few weeks later I mentioned the early April PM would take a month for the hook to set. One month later was late last week, spot on again. Yesterday my nephew hedged it for me and he might remove the hedge today.
As I said a while ago. There no L/T EZ money plays right now. Everything is a few weeks to maybe a couple months for some time to come.. Most things are in a traders mode and should stay that way for months..
PMs should be coming into play, might take a couple weeks for that hook to set.
Busy with my outdoor stuff.
As suggested Fri. was early for a buy but my stuff is doing fine. Boring stuff no one else ever took any interest in.
Relaxing the short protection on my L/T EZ money options stack.
Can't take credit since it was after the fact. Did hear one of the kids saying it would be a barn burner trade, ya I guess. What bothers me is how predictable the Fed pattern trade has been.
Even this whole traders theme as was suggested months ago is playing out. Sideways markets create cause and effect regardless of the time frame.
The big pic time symmetry is very striking too. Look what happened in early March, looks like a repeat is setting up. Only May might not end like March did.
But I took a break from my chores and am digging thru the garbage for a few plays I like. Might be a tad early.
I continue to let the kids play the whips, must admit they're doing pretty good.. Gonna' make me jealous.
Back to playing Farmer Brown. Buy in May and make some hay?
Fed pop and dump play has worked for many months. Will the vs/t pattern continue? hmmmm
Was asked about my latest EZ money trade. This is a first any interest was ever shown in them. Guess the choppy market had something to do with that.. But EZ was probably the wrong term for the majority.. This is not like buying oil 2 years ago or long the dollar, utilities, consumer products and hi yield back whenever, which I still hold some of all with dividend underlies only, most of those have turned into a traders theme too. .this one is an options play. It does require some maintenance.
One thing I never reveal is how I stack my option plays plus many don't play in the options arena. ..... There are a few mutual funds that try to do the same but they have little downside protection. Plus the dividend they return is usually less than 12% annualized.
About a year ago I mentioned I was bullish the dollar a couple times. Never said anything about exits. This morning I took a pile home.. Currency cycles can be a bit hard to nail down. With the Fed next week I said take most of it. So looking back at what this did the past year, I have no issue cashing in most of it and letting the kids swing the spooz with the extra cash.. Plus the less I have to track the next 5-6 months the better. The balance has a euro trade against it. The dollar might go into a traders theme soon but I'm not as secure on this thought as I was regarding the spooz traders only call in late Dec and again in mid Jan.
Last summer I bought corn about the same time I got bullish on the dollar but never said a word, thought it'd be a waste of my time... If you look at what the dollar and corn has done since last summer, plus other trades I've mentioned it should be easy to see why I work on finding them. With the work involved to set them is partially why I've become reluctant to give everything away when no one else has any input or even any feedback..
In early April I PMd what could make a low in a couple weeks. Think that thought was timely and I'm no longer short that issue. Might take up a month to set the hook.
FWIW some of these L/T EZ money trades could disappear for a while. Sometimes they only last a couple months, other times for a year or more. .
I had removed the post about PMs not working well. Should have left it up. I'll get a batch, a week later I'll check in and have too much to sort thru.. I know my nephew cut off those that were working with him, but my input will be limited for several months.
Still willing to hand this site over to someone else.
Backing out of shorts again but not buying into this this. Started a couple new EZ money trades last week, if they give me better or more entries over the next couple weeks that's where I'll be. No need to say what they are as no one wanted anything to do with EZ money for 2 years.
Gen market is still a traders delight, but I let the kids handle most of that. I'm only playing bigger swings or my EZ trades due to my other interests and time requirements..
right near the Mon low I doubted ""that"" low point would be a barn burner. Had said more trade trade.
That was this months freebie
If you study your history, be aware of upcoming events AND use symmetry you'll see why I wasn't expecting much out of it..
Elon Musk wants to buy Twitter. Suddenly the gov't wants to open an investigation.
It was ok for Twitlede and scrap book to silence those they didn't like.
Meanwhile members of Congress are becoming multi-millionaires on a salary around $190k without being investigated.
Ya guess I better snuggle up to pisslosi for some pillow talk.
In the very early 80s I hung a sign on my office wall, It said, "Buy American the next job you save might be your own". That got laughed at scoffed at etc, mostly from union members. I left it hang there for over 25 years. When I sold my business the buyer wanted to ensure I left that sign behind. He said something like it's the best thing he ever saw.
An uncle was in a union for 40 years said unions will be our downfall. He felt it was due to them protecting those that slack off and they will undermine what many are trying to accomplish. The evidence is there.
Slackers have no room in my life.
The money blown on elections is a disgrace. Think what we could do with that money for disabled vets, the homeless etc. I NEVER give any candidate money but I do give them a piece of my mind.
We need another Ross. RIP
Those in the know were expecting mostly downside off the late March marker into mid-ish April then up into the next POI, which hasn't been fully established yet, only a general time period was given.
I doubt this low point will be a barn burner but sometimes we get surprised. Likely more trade trade as we've been doing for over 3 months.
weather is going to break for me
The Teddy piece on the History Channel is Memorial weekend,
In late Dec I suggested a big pic flattish theme was setting up. Then in mid Jan said the traders market is here, oh ya it sure was.
Did a bit more big pic work the last couple days as the weather isn't letting me get much done.
The big flattish theme still looks likely for several months. I know this might not mean much but it makes me more serious in saying this traders theme really is just getting started.
I expect the swings we saw from early Jan down into late Feb then back up into our late March marker are a fair hint of what's to come. Think the trading range will widen as we progress.
Happy Easter.
Sort of a joke sent to me from an old buddy,>>
My wife and I don't like to talk about expensive trips but this time I'll make an exception...
This morning we went to the gas station and filled up our car. Then we went grocery shopping and went home...
<<< Well the dummy in DC is trying to blame this on Russia. When in fact the inflation cycle started 2 years ago, bumped along by Covid and again amplified by current lefty polices.
But if you repeat a lie often enough, many will fall for it.
Can't say I admire any politician. I'd respect Teddy Roosevelt, Eisenhower to some limit and I remember some of him. IMO Carter had good intentions. Mixed feelings on Reagan, as I never thought much of an actor being in politics as I saw is as another act to some degree but some of his ideas were ok.. Going further back possibly Lincoln.
Outside of Ike, maybe Reagan and Carter to some extent, no one from 1910 to present does much for me.
Non of the founding fathers. Most were hypocrites, many owned slaves but signed a document that all men are created equal. In drafting the electoral college map, which has become a big joke, blacks were considered 3/5 of a person, which is something else most history books don't teach.
The 3/5 thing was a compromise as the north only wanted to count free people as a real person in forming the map. How hypocritical was that?
BTW the History channel has a piece on Teddy this weekend. Might be interesting even though it's probably a rehash of others. How many ways can a biography be presented?
I could admire Teddy for his way of telling the party to shove it. For a long time it's too damn many yes men playing by the party ways to get elected. Big money runs the parties. So the pres to some extent is a puppet as is Congress... But then we have lobbyists so it's all legal.
Teddy was for the little guy, something we haven't seen much of since not even from cousin Franklin. Obama was a joke, like Biden his workings hurt some he claimed to support..
Teddy was a progressive Republican. Very different than todays con. 110 years ago monopolies were the norm and he went after them. The fact he said F U and did some of the right things holds a lot of water for me.
Kind of ironic, even though Teddy had a hand in breaking up some monopolies, the heads of most that were broke up back then went on to become even richer. Standard oil and Rockefeller is a good example. Break up a company, stay CEO and rake it in from several directions.
Centrists? We need many more. The few we have are often seen as traitors. I see them as traitors to the inner workings of big party garbage and the controlling purse strings. Most that weren't moderate don't become moderate until at or near the end of their career. I sometimes wonder if the last minute switch is something of an inner sense or awareness of fairness or maybe their own conscience finally ate away at them. Yet it's hard for me to believe any politician has a real conscience. I see a couple recent examples of nothing more than inner party fights so they vote against the party, which is bull. John McCain comes to mind.
I think some go into politics with good intentions. Then all the money changes most of these intentions thus leaving very few that give a shit about us.. Wouldn't you like to share pillows with horse face pisslosi to get insider trading tips? YUK But if it wasn't so lucrative why get in the mud slinging game to begin with?
In todays world I doubt Teddy would go far. He was selected as VP in thinking he'd be an out of mind out sight VP. But Teddy's presence was a boost for McKinley. When McKinley got shot the real Teddy came out. Now the crocked 2 party system makes damn sure whomever gets the nod knows who the boss is. Part of the reason why I like 3rd parties.
Let's take this a step further. Don't forget Ross Perot. He had my vote. A business man that knew how to balance a checkbook and was not part of the gang.. In a way I liked swamp master Trump due to not being part of the gang but still voted 3rd party.
Shortly after the 92 elections, the Leaque of women voters said no more third parties on the debate stage. What many don't know is this was due to pressure from the cons and libs. In a word they said there'd be no support if other competition is again allowed on stage. Perot scared the shit out of them with 19% of the popular vote. Probably one of the few times the big parties agreed on something..... Another reason why I continue to support many independents and Libertarians while knowing the odds of them winning something more than a local office is remote.. That bullshit really swung me from ever voting for a lib or con again, with a few exceptions in local elections.
Let the country hear other points of view on the same stage, screw the big boys.
You bring up the problems with the deli. I point directly at unions and the left as part of the reason. PART! It's a problem as too many hand outs are given so why should I work? Well if you want to amount to more than a statistic get off the pot and make something of your dead lazy ass.
Back in the day I had many union people come to my shop expecting it cheaper than the other guy yet they made the bigger wage. Their ideas didn't work on me then and still doesn't.
I know many union people. Most are ok but there's a few that should get the boot. A good friend has been in a paper makers union for about 30 years and talks about what a waste it is. He even says it's for those that are lazy or drink too much and call in excessively. .............. Can't argue with him as I've seen it first hand. I was in the Teamsters for 10 years. The only reason I was in the union was because it was a closed shop. But at the time I was fresh out of the service, needed a job and had the qualifications. So I swallowed my pride and joined. But I never took advantage of it, like many do.
Do your crap and get off the pot. If you don't the swamp might get ya'
Because of a trouble maker 2 years ago I stopped posting the turn dates.
In Jan. Farooq's bass asswards comments stopped the sym lesson and I withdrew more information and went more to PMs, which pissed him off. See if I care
PMs are a pain in the ass for me. I'll check in and find a batch,, My preferred schedule doesn't allow me to give a timely response. They've all been deleted. If one was an invite to dinner with Dementia Joe or a night out with Whore Harris I wouldn't go anyway.
If you're on my nephews list, he's cutting them free due to plagiarism we found on the open web. Not sure who was doing it but like with Farooq one bad apple spoils it for everyone..
Finding the markers AKA turn dates with 95+% accuracy and how to interrupt them is something few can do. I could easily get $5K a month for daily updates. But am not interested in firing the sub service back up. .
I have nothing to prove. My record speaks for itself. I gave a short trading overview of how I can hit the very fast turns in late Feb. Made more in that week then most do trading in a year.
You usually get what you pay for. Lefties might not like it, well that's just tough chit, get over it, get a haircut and get a real job..
I might jump in on occasion with a quick market comment if there are other remarks that are market related. Just don't expect me to return for the exit, flip or turn from it. It's my schedule and I'm enjoying life.
I got my EZ money plays, which no interest was ever seen in. To many like to make the fast big hit, there's no patience anymore.
I'll chit chat about anything else, again time permitting.
At one time there were a couple people interested in taking over this site for their interests. If you are still wanting this, say so and I'll make it happen.
While the left tries to buy votes with immigrants the nut job governor in Texas says, I'll ship them right to DC. What a joke on both sides... think I'll burn my ballot
Now dementia Bye Dumb wants to add more ethanol to our gasoline for the driving season. Hope you're not using an older vehicle.
Burns our food sources and lowers fuel mileage while many are having problems feeding their families. Again the dumbo craps are hurting those they claim to help. Yet dummies will vote for them and swallow the propaganda.
This dipshit must be watching my play book, He released more oil from our reserves at the last oil marker in early march, now he does this.
Every time one of the lefty assholes opens their mouth makes me more and more glad we did our long term plays here by being independent on the bullshit from the headless chicken farm. They don't effect us much but the average Joe that HAS to work for a living is being eaten alive.
the longer this traders theme goes the less the unknowing will have a clue as to what is next
Way back I don't remember when, chit many months ago I mentioned utilities and consumer products, Ya too many find it boring so I never mentioned them again, Well my account didn't find them boring..
So many easy money trades I had mentioned, but alas, never again.
Mickey Mouse, Donald Duck and company say it's no longer boys and girls... Guess its' back to the Adams Family and everyone is cousin "IT".
A lefty governor vetoed a bill calling for harsher penalties on those that riot and cause social disturbance.
We have our heels up VP that advocated violence during some of the 2020 riots.
Horse face Pisslosi , who advocates insider trading for Congress has covid and wants to fly to Tiawan.
Makes as much sense as anything that has come from the lefty camp in a long time.
So proud, so very proud.
So the fed wants to knock off 95B a month starting in May. Hell it would take 4 years to clear things out and return us to a free market, or I should say as free as it can get. Hasn't been a true free market for 100 years. But all this is going to do is help play into this traders theme I mentioned in Mid Jan.
GEZ with turn dates every 2-4 days and sometimes every 1-2 days, whip whip whip likely well into our next bigger focus point
Fun fun fun
Dont ask why, but I'm watching a show called Mr Mayor. Holy shit reminds of the current leadership in DC. Just plain nuts. The headless chicken farm
Still got an issue with some PMs. I must have hit the wrong button, wouldn't surprise me.
Last key marker was a bit hard to hit within the 8 hour window we like to maintain our 95%+ plus projection rate. Had said in PMs it was a long term count and needed some give or take as it was centered on the 28th. But knowing it was there allowed us traders to trade without stops as we normally do.
In mid Jan I said we have a traders market coming at us like few have seen. Ya and it's just getting warmed up and that statement is not hedged either.
Taking time out of my schedule will become more scarce as I'm now getting busy with spring and summer projects.
Pay attention and take notes in the order they came out, when they might come out.. I find it disturbing to have made a projection to then be asked a question that in a sense has already been answered. Some of this comes from those that tell me they can spot a top or bottom, so what's the problem?
Got the first whipsaw, next marker will be telling. Good to have some excitement back.
Think we need to consider the original count from the Feb lo and it's big picture expectations.
Hard for me to trade much, my nephew took a couple weeks off and my watching things for 5 minutes a day isn't my idea of surgical trading.
So I took a pile off tonight and will see what the next 2 markers look like. Probably did better than those that watch things all day anyway.
maybe not so boring, got an alt count working here
Going from crazy to now it's likely to be boring until April
IF people would just do their job!! Man I've been saying this for 30 years. Seems to be getting worse, too God damn many government handouts IS part of the cause..
Wife has been on the phone for 2 days trying to get a cell phone plan changed. Yup one would say, all done should work in a couple hours. she'd get in the system and see where the work promised was not done. lazy friking kids.
Sure glad we don't have this problem here because if we did they'd not get all the benies we can make happen by working together..
Wife was a nurse supervisor for 16 years before going P/T. She worked with patients and insurance companies as a health advocate. Boy the stories she can tell about lazy people not following thru.
Its an epidemic, I've heard people say It isn't my job but whine when something doesn't get done they want. Screw em'
just another rant.
Back to my horses and plow, ya do some of it the old fashioned way.
Pretty crazy out there for the past 10 weeks. But in reality there's a very long term cycle that repeats with stunning accuracy, which allowed me to make such a statement.
Last night one of the guys said, this has been so easy to trade, like taking money from a baby. He said he made more money since X-Mas then the past 6 months of last year. I'll admit the marker projections have been doing very well. But when I hear statements like that, I start looking for a curve ball. Think one is not too far away.
If we do have a curve ball the next assumed low will come in a couple days early and it'll be a wild one. Need to work thru the next set of markers, then I'll know more.
I have done nothing since I played the wild swings in late Feb. Thought the guys might need help with that time period so I posted some of my thoughts during that episode. Since then the kids have been doing all my trading again, I've been busy getting ready for spring planting. Probably be scarce until that's done, likely in May.
Been saying a traders market for over 2 months, And the expression.. "YOU AIN"T SEEN NOTHIN" YET" is coming.
Debt crisis when? Hell if I know, it might be more of a cyclical thing. Haven't done any work on this.
Just saw where di chit bye dumb is concerned about oil and gas prices. How timely. He has no clue how the leasing process and pipelines work together. Plus ban Russian oil.
Just took a 1/3 off my long term positions much as I did last mid Oct., can use the cash for general trading, was waaaaayyyyyy overweight any way and way too light on trading capital..
Doubt if I'll mention any other trades with this sector since no one else gave a chit 2 years ago,
chart pattern is interesting, still dont think we're in a traders market??
See the last marker stuck like glue.
Agree on the Ukraine theme.
To be frank I never hold back on any punch regarding politicians. If I see bull shit the label goes on with super glue. I have no allegiance to any party. I mostly support independents with exception to idiots like Bernie Sanders. , more cons than libs if I have no other choice. At heart I'm a libertarian as we have too much government.
If more would look past the stacked 2 party system as a way to solve their problems they might see the light, that being in many cases government is the problem.
Another thing about dim wit ho Harris. During the 2020 riots she said the rioting won't stop and should not stop. Pure bullshit for a politician to advocate violence in our cities.
When Trump said drain the swamp I had a laugh with my buddies. I said something like, did he look at his own side of the aisle? Swamp water knows no boundaries and will seek its' own level.
Far as I'm concerned 90% of the headless chickens are crooks and only out for themselves.
More stupidity from the headless chicken farm.
Sens. Marco Rubio of Florida and Steve Daines of Montana posted pictures of Zelenskyy on their Twitter accounts during the Zoom meeting Saturday morning, writing that they were on a call with him even though they were asked not to do anything.
STUPID IDIOTS