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Yeah, I have to agree with you. It's too fun to stop.
You're probably going to retire off this bad boy! Greenwillow has the nerves of Evil Knevil and the patience of Job.
I haven't added in a while. If it stays under a penny, I just might have to soak up a few more.
Craig does build confidence.
I don't think that everyone fully understands what's about to happen here. Anyone that is long on DMAN just needs to hang on a little longer.
There is a massive upside from here.
It starts with drilling, getting the REVENUE! flowing. Then it's drones flying all over the place finding more and more oil for DMAN and for clients using the service. More REVENUE! means more oil leases, which means more REVENUE! which means more oil leases, which means more REVENUE! which means more...you get it.
When the cash register starts ringing, this puppy is going ballistic!
3D and 4D seismic surveying have been used extensively in oil exploration for 20 plus years. The difference here is the drone technology that's currently under development.
I think you're right. Some traders have been burned by profit-taking - hoping for a pullback and re-entry that never came. We'll likely see less and less of that as traders will buy and hold longer.
The entire OS traded, and at an ever-increasing PPS. You have to like the trajectory DMAN is on!
What I like about the $0.056 estimate is that it ONLY includes the Klein Ranch leasehold. Likely near-term cash in the register.
We can add to that when they prove out reserves in the Hagelstein Ranch, future leaseholds and report REVENUE! streams from existing deals.
Our little ticker has come a long way!
As you pointed out, I tend to approach things conservatively. My portfolio is filled with capital-efficient value plays. The potential with DMAN, based on speculation alone, is staggering. Given the right conditions, this stock could go up multiple dimes. A tweet here, a PR there, next thing you know it's trading at 20 cents.
But the long-term game is played on REVENUE! This is my default position, so I like to look at what's actually on the table in terms of REVENUE! generation and get a sense of what's real vs. what crazy things the stock could do in the near-term.
But don't get me wrong, I will enjoy cash earned on speculation as much as that earned from value investing!
The Klein Ranch leasehold has been quantified. 436,000 barrels and 280,000 in reserve.
The Hagelstein Ranch leasehold is not as far along in development, they do not currently have an estimate that they're comfortable to report. They are still surveying this property. The intention is to start drilling the Hagelstein location by the end of Q2, so we should be hearing reserve numbers soon.
They are also actively pursuing additional leases.
Here is how I see the numbers breaking down - today. WTI is currently selling at about $59. Lifting costs in this region average around $25/barrel. That leaves $34/barrel. Multiply this by the known reserves of 716,000 barrels and you've got $24,344,000 of potential profit. Divide that by the 431,000,000 outstanding shares and you get $0.056/share.
Once other properties are developed you can add to these figures, but for now, we shouldn't be expecting them to produce oil on every acre of land they lease. That's not practical.
I see this as a self-financing operation (read that as non-dilutive) by pulling oil out of the ground to facilitate selling the tech in order to get royalties flowing and acquire additional leases. Lather, rinse, repeat.
I love all the speculation! But, if you want to see some big PPS numbers, we need REVENUE!
I averaged all the way down on this one. At the close yesterday I was already green on the entire position. Today's price movement is just a nice prelude to what's to come!
Like you, I'll take a nice bit off the table, then let the rest run.
Good luck to all longs!
The stars do appear to be lining up on this one. I hope you get everything you want from DMAN!
nope941, we started accumulating our positions around the same time, I think. Since then, this is now the third iteration of a business plan that this ticker has had. Widgets and promises of future fortunes aren't anywhere near as valuable as the share structure. Starting with Tom Coleman, management has always had an aversion to dilution.
It would be nice to see them actually ring the cash register. Nothing brings investors to the table quicker than REVENUE!
Well, that didn't suck! Nice day today, I think we'll see more days like this as the story unfolds.
Was there inventory listed on the last filing? If it was I missed it.
I get what you're saying, though. When they get all the pieces in place, they should be able to grow sales for years, taking the share price along with it.
You're right, REVENUE! is not the right measurement for DMAN, or it's potential. Not today, at least. Development stage means they don't yet have the store open, so there is no REVENUE! Won't see any of that until they actually have some products to sell.
It's good to reiterate what Development Stage means. From the Financials:
Development Stage
The Company is in a development stage, as a result of the Agreement. During this initial period of operations, the Company is negotiating and entering into manufacturing, distribution, financing, and licensing agreements and developing products. Once sufficient products are developed and produced and distribution channels confirmed and certain funding goals are achieved the Company will enter its full operating stage.
Also found this little nugget:
NOTE 2: PROPERTY AND EQUIPMENT
Property and equipment at June 30, 2019, consisted of packaging equipment. As production had not yet commenced at the end of the period no depreciation had been recorded.
The last thing I recall hearing about what the team was doing is that they were working on product formulation and packaging. They are about branding products and selling them through distribution channels. Getting the boxes and bottles right is a key second step, after formulation. From this, we can postulate that they've got formulas they're satisfied with and possibly acceptable packaging.
Putting this information in a company communication seems pointless, so I don't blame them for keeping it to themselves until they have something more material to report. Like a manufacturing agreement and some financing.
There's been a lot of beefing about the Infusional website not "working," but they don't have the product ready to sell yet, so that's a cart before the horse thing.
Hey Homeshow, let me answer your question by telling you what I did. I recently acquired an additional 500k shares at a blended cost of about $0.003.
What I think is that I'm not done buying if the price continues to drop with nothing material from the company. DMAN will not succeed or fail based on what MM's, flippers or nervous investors are doing today to the share price.
I go days at a time without looking at the share price or my account totals in DMAN. The proposition is this...I dropped some cash on a development stage company. This will take an undetermined amount of time to come to fruition. It may or may not pan out, but leadership has an impressive track record and the new venture is a mirror image of that old success. I like the odds.
What's DMAN worth today? Based on their revenue, nothing. But they're not yet a revenue-generating company. When that day comes we can assign a value. Today we are speculating on potential. I once heard a wise man say, of people who nervously watch stock prices day after day, "They know the price of everything and the value of nothing." The share price is nominal, anyone can look it up and tell you what it is, but alone it has no meaning. Placing a value on a company requires some skill and many data points to get you in the ballpark. When the data becomes available, we'll have great discussions about what the company is worth and what kind of premium we should pay for the growth potential.
How about you, where do you stand on DMAN today?
I managed another 500k today, too. Blended out at $0.003. Nice.
I put in a buy for 100,000 shares at 004, someone sold me 7,211 shares.
Someone gave me a nice block of 35's. Thank you, citizen!
Between yesterday and today, some good Samaritans provided me with an additional 250k cheapies.
Thank you, citizens!
I tried to pick up another 250k cheapies today, but no one wanted to play. Tomorrow brings another opportunity!
The most important thing from the last financial statement...
Development Stage
The Company is in a development stage, as a result of the Agreement. During this initial period of operations, the Company is negotiating and entering into manufacturing, distribution, financing, and licensing agreements and developing products. Once sufficient products are developed and produced and distribution channels confirmed and certain funding goals are achieved the Company will enter its full operating stage.
Until some of these benchmarks are met, there's nothing to see here. The share price will rise and fall as traders and market makers jockey for position and beer money. Those of us that have already accumulated full positions can just sit back and wait for the show to begin.
Forgot to mention...
Thanks to whoever it was that sold me another nice block of shares at $0.005. Wasn't really planning on more, but the temptation when it gets that low is to really load up.
There's been a lot posted here lately about how the DMAN management team isn't communicating with shareholders, that they've been at it for 9 months and still no popcorn news! Oh, the humanity!
The complaints are those you would normally associate with an investment. If Microsoft went dark, and you were a shareholder, you might be concerned.
There's a distinction that needs to be made here. DMAN is not an investment, it is a speculation. Speculation in a development stage company. If they've been at it for 9 months, they might be at it for another 9 months before there is really any material news in terms of sales and REVENUE!
There is no timeline for "development stage." Make your trades accordingly.
A DMAN/GMVP hookup does sound plausible. It would make sense if GMVP is looking for someone to market their products. I don't know if they're just a manufacturer or if they have active sales efforts, too.
It does fit the profile of DMAN's stated intentions, that of adding products by acquisition or agreement, so they have a large stable of products available across a wide spectrum of consumer needs.
We'll see. The one thing you cannot say about DMAN is that the future will not be interesting!
300k shares compared to the number I already own is pretty much a rounding error!
But I get what you're saying. 33% more shares is not a small number, and there's no reason to not be prudent when investing your hard earned dollars. I'll try to not be so cavalier about it in the future!
I'm very thankful that some investors saw fit to sell me a lot of shares in the 3's and 4's. Even after the DMAN group was formed and the company was really starting to take shape.
You may be right, we might not see 5's again. I'm predicting we will for my stated reasons, but won't be disappointed if we don't get down that low again.
Once news begins to flow, all bets are off.
Most DMAN investors understand this. But there will be some with sizeable positions that are hoping and praying that the Q will produce a big spike in price so they can claim their expected profits.
When those expectation are not met, the resulting sell-fest will benefit those of us with the patience to let this start-up get going.
I want to see it at $0.50 next week, just like the next guy. But the smart money is betting that once they get all their products lined up and their sales staff up and running, we'll see a slow trickle of news pertaining to these efforts, and then see that trickle turn into a stream of news as we begin to see hyper growth take hold.
Once Price to Sales ratios kick in, we'll be looking at numbers that investors will use to determine current value.
$10M in sales would translate into roughly $0.08/share with a 4x growth factored built in.
$50M in sales would translate to a $0.43/share price with the same 4x growth factor.
These numbers do not take into account investor enthusiasm, which is sure to cause spikes. If you're smart enough to play the spikes and not get burned, then God Bless! I'm just going to hold on until they're the hottest little company in the CBD space and everyone wants my shares.
And then I'm going to save a big pile of shares because we all know that their eventual intentions are to return money to shareholders in the form of dividends, just like their former company does and has done for over a decade.
1,000,000 shares that cost only $9,000 at today's price, will spin off $100,000 per quarter when they pay a $0.10/share quarterly dividend.
11x every three months on some extra shares you just have lying around.
Yeah.
Because 8's are a screaming bargain, and my crystal ball is broken. If it drops further, I'll add to my position.
I'm guessing that it will, but that's the sort of thing that makes fools of us all. When DMAN gets over a dollar, it won't matter what we paid at this level.
Picked up another 200,000 $0.008's today.
Without news, we should likely expect to slowly drift back down to 5's again.
The other catalyst for 5's would be the financials. I know some people are expecting to see some big numbers. When they see the reality, that a startup company doesn't produce big numbers immediately after starting up, they'll sell shares in a hissy fit.
That's really good for me. This is a war of attrition. Impatient investors will have their lunch eaten by pros. DMAN will be wildly profitable. But you have to stay in the game long enough to benefit.
Did you trade your plan?
The past couple of days, in my mind, has solidified the idea that DMAN isn't going to "take off" until the company has, what? Say it with me...................REVENUE!
100,000,000 shares got traded in a couple of sessions, and it's sitting just about back where it started.
This was an opportunity to make some quick cash. Did you? Or are you a longer term holder that was amused by the bump and crash? I'm still smiling, it was fun to watch! But $0.02 isn't nearly enough to make me even think about parting with shares. Once the company kicks the sales efforts in gear, I don't think $0.20 will make me part with shares.
Low float, no debt, experienced management team, front end of a new market with enormous growth potential, expanding market as 420 laws get passed, international sales potential, still trades for under a penny, on the cusp of launching, numerous large shareholders not interested in selling, best bunch of people on I-Hub discussing daily, company does not pump. Is that not enough?
Well, I've gone and done it. Convinced myself to buy more tomorrow!
That's some tough luck, your profit window was 1 hour, after waiting how long for a selling opportunity, and you had something to do away from the computer.
All I can say is hang in there. DMAN is lining things up to start generating REVENUE!
There will be plenty more opporunities in the near future.
Don't take offense to some of us wanting to see the SP drop under a penny again. Greenwillow and I both have fairly large positions, and we're willing to add to them if the price is right.
Heck, I'd love if it dropped under a penny after rising up over 2 cents so you can make your money first. I'm not going anywhere, and have infinite patience for this thing to play itself out.
What's your time horizon for DMAN, how long will you stay in to let the business model prove or disprove itself?
If it does go below a penny, are you selling?
Lots of speculation about who provided all that volume today. With no news, who cares? A pretty good percentage of the float was bought over $0.015 today. That means an even tighter float.
Can't wait to see what this will do on very positive news.
Before all is said and done, I'd also guess that there will be at least one more excellent buying opportunity, maybe even down under 007.
I've got some cash burning a hole in my pocket.
I agree, it is too soon to be thinking that today's action was indicative of what's to come. Because it wasn't really based on the business taking strides forward. When that happens, today looks like a small blip, by comparison.
But you're right, we need money talk to really get this puppy revved up and off the ground. Today brought me to about even, so there's no real excitement in that.
DMAN--High Conviction Trade
Normally I'm a buy and hold investor. 2 years ago a guy at work told me about INMG. Got in really cheap, sold at a double in just a few days, caught a nice little bump. That pretty much hooked me in.
After that it was about the prospects. The more I learned about Coleman's attitude toward dilution, the more I realized this ticker had a shot, even it was only based on the share structure. Being a first mover in the media/marijuana space convinced me to accumulate shares and see where it goes.
INMG fizzled, Tom was never going to get CannaNetTv off the ground, there was only so much he could do on his own. I'd wager he looked for buyers and couldn't find any. The share structure was still very compelling, in the OTC share/debt structure this tight is a unicorn. Find it, you should buy it, regardless of the business model. Tom didn't quit on us, though. He found what amounts to a buyer, a new player with a better business model. Bruce and Co. were all too happy to land in such a nice shiny shell.
Fast forward to DMAN. Once the current management team came on board, I started to accumulate again. The more I learned about their history, contacts, stated goals, business plan, the more shares I bought.
I'm likely not done buying. DMAN, IMO, will hit several dollars in the next 2 years if it doesn't get bought out, which is pretty likely. Once REVENUE! is part of the mix, and with the share/debt structure we see today, the stock will climb. Then the real sharks will come calling. The kind with the resources to buy the whole company. We just have to hope this thing rockets, any offers will have to come in above that.
If a buyout at $1 doesn't put $1,000,000 in your pocket, I have to ask why you haven't bought your share yet?
The day to day price fluctuations are meaningless in this nearly no volume and zero REVENUE! environment.
When it does blast off, it's going past 20 cents and never coming back. Companies that actually generate cash flow, grow.
If this company does half as well as Hanan's previous employer, we're looking at 600,000% growth from today's half a penny.
Quality deals on quality products that people want rolled out with a quality plan. Put your shares way in the back of your sock drawer and come back in 2 years. Anyone who is in for a penny and gets out for a dime is absolutely going to hate themselves later.